編者語：suiranguojitiekuangshisandajutoudelongduangejuweilaijiangyijiucunzai，shenzhihuiyinweibihebituobinggoulituodengyuqiergengshen，danwuluncongxuqiuqushihaishiguojijingjijinrongdahuanjingdebeijinglaikan，chixushuniandeguojitiekuangshijiagebaozhangjumiandoujijiangxuangaojieshu。 

   逆風飛揚

，在價格趨勢的魔鬼詞典裏應該是與逆勢而為、自取其辱等同的詞彙。當美元逐漸走強、原油
、黃金等商品市場結束牛市掉頭直下之時
，鐵礦石價格卻依舊在釋放出一些與眾不同的信號：2009年的鐵礦石價格談判將於幾個月後開始的時候，巴西鐵礦石巨頭卻向中國和日本等國的鋼鐵企業提出將2008年鐵礦石價格提高20%的要求。這被普遍看成是對2009年鐵礦石談判價格仍將上揚的試探性表達。 
　　筆者以為，suiranguojitiekuangshisandajutoudelongduangejuweilaijiangyijiucunzai，shenzhihuiyinweibihebituobinggoulituodengyuqiergengshen，danwuluncongxuqiuqushihaishiguojijingjijinrongdahuanjingdebeijinglaikan
，chixushuniandeguojitiekuangshijiagebaozhangjumiandoujijiangxuangaojieshu。 
　　muqiangangtieyedezhouqixingtiaozhengyijingbiaoxiandehenmingxian

，yiquanqiuzuidadegangtieshengchanguozhongguoweili，yibianshigangcaijiagechixuxiajiang
，yibianshibaokuotiekuangshizaineideshengchanchengbenchixushangzhang，gangtieyelirunbeiyanzhongyasuohezhuduogangqikuisundejumianhaizaijixu。daxinggangqitongguobinggouzuoqianghezhongxiaogangtieqiyexiaowangjiangshibukebimiandetiaozhengguocheng，erxingyezhenghejiutuobujuezhuangtaideyebukenengchangqicunzai。 
　　房fang地di產chan業ye對dui於yu鋼gang材cai的de需xu求qiu約yue占zhan總zong需xu求qiu的de三san分fen之zhi一yi左zuo右you
，在zai美mei國guo房fang貸dai危wei機ji和he中zhong國guo宏hong觀guan調tiao控kong等deng背bei景jing之zhi下xia
，全quan球qiu房fang地di產chan業ye走zou向xiang持chi續xu低di迷mi，必bi將jiang導dao致zhi鋼gang材cai需xu求qiu大da幅fu下xia滑hua，同tong時shi全quan球qiu消xiao費fei疲pi軟ruan也ye將jiang導dao致zhi其qi他ta行xing業ye對dui鋼gang鐵tie需xu求qiu的de下xia滑hua。而er鋼gang鐵tie需xu求qiu降jiang低di必bi將jiang減jian少shao對dui鐵tie礦kuang石shi的de需xu求qiu，需xu求qiu與yu價jia格ge之zhi間jian的de聯lian動dong趨qu勢shi將jiang十shi分fen明ming顯xian。 
　　bujinruci，changqichuyudiweidejiaotanjiagejinnianyekaishishangzhang。jiaotanhetiekuangshishigangtieshengchanzuizhongyaodeliangzhongyuanliao
，jiaotanjiageshangyangduiyutiekuangshijiageshangyangdejichuxiaoyingweilaibijiangxianxian，daozhitiekuangshijiageduiyugangtieqiyechengbendehuayuquanheyingxianglidadashuailuo，erzhongguojiaotanzaiquanqiudefeneyusanjutouzaitiekuangshidelongduanfeneshangjiejin。zongshangbunanyujian

，guojitiekuangshijiagedebaozhangtongdaoyijingjinrumoqi

，eryidanchuxianjiagexiajiang
，xianhuohetunhuoshichanghaijiangduijiagezaochengyidingdechongji。