http://www.kadhoai.com.cn 2026-04-09 20:00:33 來源:中國自動化學會專家谘詢工作委員會
一段時間以來,金融危機引發了人們對於經濟發展模式的思考。此時還遠不能得出結論:其(qi)一(yi)美(mei)國(guo)出(chu)現(xian)問(wen)題(ti)並(bing)不(bu)等(deng)於(yu)別(bie)國(guo)沒(mei)有(you)問(wen)題(ti),其(qi)二(er)人(ren)們(men)很(hen)快(kuai)發(fa)現(xian)大(da)家(jia)麵(mian)臨(lin)著(zhe)許(xu)多(duo)共(gong)同(tong)的(de)危(wei)機(ji)和(he)問(wen)題(ti)。世(shi)界(jie)上(shang)沒(mei)有(you)一(yi)個(ge)經(jing)濟(ji)發(fa)展(zhan)模(mo)式(shi)包(bao)治(zhi)百(bai)病(bing),完(wan)美(mei)無(wu)缺(que)。
中(zhong)國(guo)的(de)經(jing)濟(ji)發(fa)展(zhan)模(mo)式(shi)絕(jue)非(fei)僅(jin)僅(jin)信(xin)賴(lai)出(chu)口(kou),而(er)是(shi)強(qiang)調(tiao)市(shi)場(chang)與(yu)宏(hong)觀(guan)調(tiao)控(kong)的(de)結(jie)合(he)。美(mei)國(guo)的(de)模(mo)式(shi)出(chu)現(xian)問(wen)題(ti)也(ye)絕(jue)非(fei)市(shi)場(chang)之(zhi)過(guo),而(er)是(shi)宏(hong)觀(guan)調(tiao)控(kong)出(chu)了(le)問(wen)題(ti),這(zhe)是(shi)市(shi)場(chang)經(jing)濟(ji)自(zi)由(you)放(fang)任(ren)失(shi)去(qu)了(le)節(jie)律(lv)的(de)結(jie)果(guo)。值(zhi)得(de)注(zhu)意(yi)的(de)是(shi)這(zhe)一(yi)問(wen)題(ti)的(de)出(chu)現(xian)並(bing)非(fei)首(shou)次(ci),而(er)是(shi)在(zai)西(xi)方(fang)經(jing)濟(ji)的(de)曆(li)史(shi)中(zhong)不(bu)斷(duan)輪(lun)回(hui)出(chu)現(xian)的(de)問(wen)題(ti)。無(wu)論(lun)是(shi)早(zao)期(qi)的(de)羅(luo)斯(si)福(fu)新(xin)政(zheng),還(hai)是(shi)後(hou)來(lai)的(de)尼(ni)克(ke)鬆(song)主(zhu)義(yi),裏(li)根(gen)主(zhu)義(yi)或(huo)撒(sa)切(qie)爾(er)主(zhu)義(yi)都(dou)反(fan)映(ying)了(le)西(xi)方(fang)經(jing)濟(ji)對(dui)於(yu)周(zhou)期(qi)性(xing)或(huo)輪(lun)回(hui)性(xing)問(wen)題(ti)的(de)思(si)考(kao)。宏(hong)觀(guan)調(tiao)控(kong)過(guo)頭(tou),市(shi)場(chang)會(hui)受(shou)到(dao)抑(yi)製(zhi),而(er)強(qiang)調(tiao)市(shi)場(chang)因(yin)素(su)過(guo)了(le)頭(tou),又(you)會(hui)出(chu)現(xian)市(shi)場(chang)失(shi)靈(ling),無(wu)形(xing)的(de)手(shou)不(bu)僅(jin)無(wu)形(xing)而(er)且(qie)無(wu)力(li)。這(zhe)裏(li)關(guan)鍵(jian)是(shi)一(yi)個(ge)平(ping)衡(heng)的(de)問(wen)題(ti),而(er)平(ping)衡(heng)的(de)問(wen)題(ti)又(you)最(zui)難(nan)把(ba)握(wo)尺(chi)寸(cun)。
無wu論lun是shi中zhong國guo的de經jing濟ji發fa展zhan模mo式shi還hai是shi美mei國guo的de模mo式shi,其qi實shi都dou沒mei有you摒bing棄qi市shi場chang,而er是shi在zai市shi場chang因yin素su的de認ren識shi上shang有you所suo不bu同tong。另ling一yi個ge值zhi得de關guan注zhu的de問wen題ti是shi實shi體ti經jing濟ji與yu虛xu擬ni經jing濟ji的de關guan係xi問wen題ti。單dan純chun靠kao以yi錢qian生sheng錢qian,過guo於yu強qiang調tiao信xin貸dai經jing濟ji的de作zuo用yong而er缺que乏fa監jian管guan被bei證zheng明ming顯xian然ran存cun在zai缺que陷xian。一yi個ge國guo家jia的de經jing濟ji應ying該gai保bao持chi多duo元yuan化hua發fa展zhan,這zhe才cai是shi更geng為wei重zhong要yao的de。對dui中zhong國guo而er言yan,沒mei有you也ye不bu可ke能neng放fang棄qi被bei30年nian改gai革ge開kai放fang證zheng明ming是shi有you效xiao的de開kai放fang和he市shi場chang的de綜zong合he平ping衡heng。中zhong國guo需xu要yao調tiao整zheng的de仍reng然ran是shi阻zu礙ai市shi場chang生sheng命ming力li的de東dong西xi,而er西xi方fang的de改gai革ge也ye絕jue非fei放fang棄qi市shi場chang,而er是shi強qiang化hua市shi場chang監jian管guan。
womenzairenshijingjifazhanmoshidechayishiyinggaikandao,shizhishangxiangsi,erxijieshangxiangyi,zheshidangqianbutongfazhanmoshidechayisuozai。qicishiyouyufazhanbutongjieduansuodailaidefazhanfangshihuofazhanyichengdebutong,butongfazhanjieduansuodailaidechayisuihuichangjiucunzai,danchuyuxiandaihuachujijieduandeguojiahaicunzaifadaguojiazengjingmianduiqueyijingjiejuedewenti,biruzaihuanjingbaohuhegaosufazhanzhijiandexietiaowentideng。fazhanzhongguojiahefadaguojiadoumianduixiangsidewenti,youxiefadaguojiacunzaidewentishifazhanzhongguojiaweilaibudebumianduide,eryouxiewentizeshifadaguojiayijingmianduidanyoujiejuedewenti,erfadaguojiayoumianduiyixiezengjingchaoyueyouzaiduchuxiandewenti。
總zong之zhi,無wu論lun是shi發fa達da國guo家jia還hai是shi發fa展zhan中zhong國guo家jia,麵mian對dui的de共gong同tong問wen題ti很hen多duo,麵mian對dui的de共gong同tong問wen題ti多duo於yu不bu同tong的de問wen題ti。如ru果guo認ren清qing了le彼bi此ci的de問wen題ti,那na麼me彼bi此ci的de理li解jie也ye會hui加jia深shen。因yin為wei發fa展zhan中zhong國guo家jia在zai一yi定ding程cheng度du上shang也ye難nan以yi超chao越yue發fa達da國guo家jia在zai發fa展zhan初chu期qi所suo麵mian臨lin的de問wen題ti。
在zai發fa展zhan模mo式shi的de探tan索suo上shang,我wo們men更geng需xu要yao關guan注zhu全quan球qiu化hua的de時shi代dai背bei景jing。全quan球qiu化hua呼hu喚huan規gui則ze規gui範fan的de一yi律lv或huo可ke兼jian容rong,全quan球qiu化hua的de進jin程cheng也ye在zai推tui廣guang著zhe共gong同tong性xing。由you此ci,在zai全quan球qiu化hua時shi代dai,我wo們men應ying該gai避bi免mian分fen化hua而er強qiang調tiao融rong合he,其qi中zhong的de關guan鍵jian是shi不bu要yao渲xuan染ran或huo誇kua大da差cha異yi,不bu要yao設she置zhi人ren為wei障zhang礙ai或huo鴻hong溝gou,不bu要yao設she置zhi不bu可ke逾yu越yue的de界jie線xian,而er應ying更geng多duo強qiang調tiao共gong同tong性xing、擴大共同性。
renleichengguoshiwuguojiede,shigongxiangde,kaifangdeguojiazhanlvedeyiyishigongtongweirenleichuangzaowuzhihejingshencaifu,gongtongfenxiangrenleichengguo。meiguoheouzhouxianhuahuadefazhanchengjiutaguoyouqishifazhanzhongguojiaxuyaoxuexi,ermeiguodengguofazhanzhongchuxiandewentihekunraobujinweimeiguodengguosuorenzhenmiandui,yeyinggaiyinfataguodesikao。tongyang,zhongguodejingyanbushimimi,zhongguodejiaoxunyetixingtaguojiqu。womenhuoxuyinggaitingzhisuowei“模式”的爭論,更多地互通有無。在當今時代,許多問題都具有跨國性,許多問題都不再是一國內部的問題,而需要各國共同麵對協力解決。(作者是外交學院國際關係研究所教授)