http://www.kadhoai.com.cn 2026-04-07 18:36:47 來源:中國自動化學會專家谘詢工作委員會
今(jin)年(nian)以(yi)來(lai),世(shi)界(jie)經(jing)濟(ji)複(fu)蘇(su)緩(huan)慢(man),主(zhu)要(yao)發(fa)達(da)經(jing)濟(ji)體(ti)受(shou)債(zhai)務(wu)危(wei)機(ji)影(ying)響(xiang)增(zeng)長(chang)乏(fa)力(li),新(xin)興(xing)經(jing)濟(ji)體(ti)迫(po)於(yu)通(tong)脹(zhang)壓(ya)力(li)增(zeng)長(chang)放(fang)緩(huan)。受(shou)此(ci)影(ying)響(xiang),我(wo)國(guo)經(jing)濟(ji)麵(mian)臨(lin)外(wai)部(bu)需(xu)求(qiu)萎(wei)縮(suo)的(de)嚴(yan)峻(jun)局(ju)麵(mian)。但(dan)令(ling)人(ren)尤(you)感(gan)欣(xin)慰(wei)的(de)是(shi),我(wo)們(men)依(yi)然(ran)取(qu)得(de)了(le)顯(xian)著(zhu)的(de)發(fa)展(zhan)成(cheng)就(jiu)。概括起來,突出體現在這樣幾個方麵:一是經濟增長由政策刺激向自主增長有序轉變,始終保持平穩較快發展勢頭。從統計數據看,今年前3個季度,按可比價格計算,國內生產總值同比增長9.4%。yuoumeidengzhuyaofadajingjititongqidedizengchangxiangbi,zengchangdonglishifenqiangjin。ershizaijingjipingwenjiaokuaifazhandetongshi,wujiaguokuaishangzhangshitoudedaoyouxiaoezhi。congqunianxiabanniankaishi,shouguoneiwaifuzayinsuyingxiang,woguowujiazengyilupansheng,suizheyixiliedehongguantiaokongzhengcefahuizuoyong,congjinnian8月份開始,物價漲幅掉頭向下,9月份、10yuefenzhuyuehuiluo。sanshijiegoutiaozhengjijituijin,zhanlvexingxinxingchanyefazhanhezhongxibudiquchengjiechanyezhuanyidebufajiakuai,caizhengshourujiaokuaizengchang,jingjixiaoyiwenbutigao。sishichengzhenxinzengjiuyemubiaochaoeshixian。jurenliziyuanyushehuibaozhangbushujuxianshi,jinnian1至9月,全國城鎮新增就業完成全年目標的110%,就業困難人員實現就業完成全年目標的139%,城鎮失業人員再就業完成全年目標的87%。五是農業生產實現“八連增”,為經濟持續平穩較快發展,進一步夯實基礎。與此同時,教育、衛生、文化等各項社會事業加快發展。
mianduishijiejingjidimidebuliyingxiangheguoneiwujiajiaokuaishangzhangdeneibuyali,woguojingjifazhannenggouqudezheyangdechengjiu,feichangbuyi。zheshidangzhongyangheguowuyuanshenshidushi、科學判斷、沉著應對、及時果斷作出正確決策的結果,是全國上下齊心協力、共(gong)同(tong)奮(fen)鬥(dou)的(de)結(jie)晶(jing)。早(zao)在(zai)去(qu)年(nian)中(zhong)央(yang)經(jing)濟(ji)工(gong)作(zuo)會(hui)議(yi)上(shang),黨(dang)中(zhong)央(yang)就(jiu)對(dui)世(shi)界(jie)經(jing)濟(ji)不(bu)穩(wen)定(ding)不(bu)確(que)定(ding)因(yin)素(su)作(zuo)出(chu)預(yu)見(jian)。會(hui)議(yi)提(ti)出(chu),國(guo)際(ji)金(jin)融(rong)危(wei)機(ji)影(ying)響(xiang)深(shen)遠(yuan),世(shi)界(jie)經(jing)濟(ji)格(ge)局(ju)正(zheng)在(zai)發(fa)生(sheng)深(shen)刻(ke)複(fu)雜(za)變(bian)化(hua)。我(wo)們(men)要(yao)認(ren)真(zhen)分(fen)析(xi)和(he)準(zhun)確(que)把(ba)握(wo)世(shi)界(jie)經(jing)濟(ji)發(fa)展(zhan)中(zhong)長(chang)期(qi)趨(qu)勢(shi),努(nu)力(li)提(ti)高(gao)應(ying)對(dui)複(fu)雜(za)局(ju)麵(mian)能(neng)力(li)。針(zhen)對(dui)我(wo)國(guo)經(jing)濟(ji)社(she)會(hui)發(fa)展(zhan)中(zhong)的(de)短(duan)期(qi)問(wen)題(ti)和(he)長(chang)期(qi)問(wen)題(ti)交(jiao)織(zhi),結(jie)構(gou)性(xing)問(wen)題(ti)和(he)體(ti)製(zhi)性(xing)問(wen)題(ti)並(bing)存(cun),國(guo)內(nei)問(wen)題(ti)和(he)國(guo)際(ji)問(wen)題(ti)互(hu)聯(lian),會(hui)議(yi)要(yao)求(qiu)我(wo)們(men)必(bi)須(xu)增(zeng)強(qiang)憂(you)患(huan)意(yi)識(shi)、風險意識、責任意識,采取有力措施,積極妥善加以解決。重點是更加積極穩妥地處理好保持經濟平穩較快發展、調整經濟結構、管理通脹預期的關係,加快推進經濟結構戰略性調整,把穩定價格總水平放在更加突出的位置,切實增強經濟發展的協調性、可(ke)持(chi)續(xu)性(xing)和(he)內(nei)生(sheng)動(dong)力(li)。經(jing)過(guo)全(quan)國(guo)上(shang)下(xia)的(de)不(bu)懈(xie)努(nu)力(li),今(jin)年(nian)以(yi)來(lai)我(wo)國(guo)經(jing)濟(ji)始(shi)終(zhong)朝(chao)著(zhe)宏(hong)觀(guan)調(tiao)控(kong)的(de)預(yu)期(qi)方(fang)向(xiang)發(fa)展(zhan),不(bu)僅(jin)保(bao)持(chi)了(le)來(lai)之(zhi)不(bu)易(yi)的(de)經(jing)濟(ji)發(fa)展(zhan)良(liang)好(hao)勢(shi)頭(tou),而(er)且(qie)進(jin)一(yi)步(bu)堅(jian)定(ding)了(le)人(ren)們(men)做(zuo)好(hao)各(ge)項(xiang)經(jing)濟(ji)工(gong)作(zuo)的(de)信(xin)心(xin)。
目mu前qian,國guo內nei各ge方fang麵mian發fa展zhan的de積ji極ji性xing都dou很hen高gao,有you利li條tiao件jian也ye不bu少shao,但dan同tong時shi我wo們men也ye要yao看kan到dao,國guo際ji因yin素su複fu雜za多duo變bian,特te別bie是shi美mei歐ou等deng國guo主zhu權quan債zhai務wu問wen題ti在zai短duan期qi內nei很hen難nan緩huan解jie,將jiang明ming顯xian拖tuo累lei世shi界jie經jing濟ji複fu蘇su進jin程cheng,從cong而er也ye會hui導dao致zhi國guo內nei情qing況kuang發fa生sheng新xin變bian化hua。為wei此ci,我wo們men既ji要yao堅jian定ding信xin心xin,看kan到dao當dang前qian經jing濟ji形xing勢shi有you利li的de一yi麵mian,也ye要yao始shi終zhong保bao持chi清qing醒xing頭tou腦nao,看kan到dao複fu雜za的de一yi麵mian。要yao充chong分fen估gu計ji形xing勢shi的de複fu雜za性xing和he嚴yan峻jun性xing,認ren真zhen對dui待dai、及時研究解決麵臨的問題,繼續把保持經濟平穩較快發展、調整經濟結構、管理通脹預期三者關係處理好,既要保持政策連續性、穩定性,又要增強政策的前瞻性、針對性和靈活性,著力把各項工作做得更紮實一些。
首先,要繼續采取有力措施穩定物價總水平,並為明年穩定物價打下好的基礎。此次物價過快上漲的原因,主要是輸入性通貨膨脹、國內貨幣流動性過剩和食品農產品價格上漲等因素“三碰頭”yinqide。congguojikan,shououzhaiweijidengyingxiang,yanxiaguojidazongshangpinjiageyousuohuiluo,shiguoneiwujiashangzhangyaliyousuojianqing,danzhenggefadaguojiahaishichuyuliudongxingfeichangkuansongdezhuangkuang。ruguofadajingjitijixushixingzhezhongkuansongdehuobizhengcedaozhiliudongxingfanlandehua,haihuijixutuigaoguojishichangshangdazongshangpinjiage,woguoshuruxingtonghuopengzhangyaliyoukenenghaihuijiada,duici,womenshizhongyaobaochigaodujingti。congguoneikan,suiranwujiashangzhangdeshitoudedaoleyouxiaoezhi,danyinqiwujiashangzhangdeshencengyuanyinshangweiconggenbenshangxiaochu。yingxiangwujiashangzhangdegezhongyinsu,jiyouxuqiuwangsheng、流動性寬裕的拉動因素,也有勞動力成本、原材料價格、能源價格、土地價格、環(huan)境(jing)保(bao)護(hu)價(jia)格(ge)等(deng)成(cheng)本(ben)推(tui)動(dong)因(yin)素(su),還(hai)有(you)農(nong)產(chan)品(pin)價(jia)格(ge)周(zhou)期(qi)性(xing)波(bo)動(dong)的(de)影(ying)響(xiang)。如(ru)何(he)進(jin)一(yi)步(bu)消(xiao)除(chu)這(zhe)些(xie)物(wu)價(jia)上(shang)漲(zhang)因(yin)素(su),不(bu)僅(jin)要(yao)管(guan)住(zhu)貨(huo)幣(bi)總(zong)量(liang),還(hai)要(yao)重(zhong)點(dian)抓(zhua)好(hao)農(nong)產(chan)品(pin)和(he)食(shi)品(pin)供(gong)應(ying),促(cu)進(jin)供(gong)求(qiu)平(ping)衡(heng),並(bing)切(qie)實(shi)降(jiang)低(di)過(guo)高(gao)的(de)流(liu)通(tong)成(cheng)本(ben),尤(you)其(qi)是(shi)要(yao)把(ba)中(zhong)央(yang)出(chu)台(tai)的(de)一(yi)係(xi)列(lie)有(you)針(zhen)對(dui)性(xing)的(de)政(zheng)策(ce)措(cuo)施(shi)真(zhen)正(zheng)落(luo)實(shi)到(dao)位(wei),加(jia)大(da)改(gai)革(ge)攻(gong)堅(jian)力(li)度(du),在(zai)重(zhong)點(dian)領(ling)域(yu)和(he)關(guan)鍵(jian)環(huan)節(jie)取(qu)得(de)突(tu)破(po)。
第(di)二(er),在(zai)穩(wen)定(ding)物(wu)價(jia)的(de)同(tong)時(shi),我(wo)們(men)還(hai)要(yao)保(bao)證(zheng)經(jing)濟(ji)適(shi)度(du)增(zeng)長(chang),千(qian)方(fang)百(bai)計(ji)擴(kuo)大(da)就(jiu)業(ye),著(zhe)力(li)調(tiao)整(zheng)優(you)化(hua)結(jie)構(gou),推(tui)動(dong)經(jing)濟(ji)發(fa)展(zhan)方(fang)式(shi)轉(zhuan)變(bian)。一(yi)是(shi)把(ba)握(wo)好(hao)宏(hong)觀(guan)經(jing)濟(ji)政(zheng)策(ce)的(de)力(li)度(du)、節jie奏zou和he重zhong點dian,適shi時shi適shi度du進jin行xing預yu調tiao微wei調tiao,保bao持chi貨huo幣bi信xin貸dai總zong量liang的de合he理li增zeng長chang,優you化hua融rong資zi結jie構gou,提ti高gao金jin融rong服fu務wu水shui平ping,完wan善shan財cai稅shui政zheng策ce,推tui進jin結jie構gou性xing減jian稅shui,集ji中zhong解jie決jue保bao障zhang和he改gai善shan民min生sheng的de緊jin迫po問wen題ti。要yao重zhong點dian支zhi持chi民min生sheng工gong程cheng尤you其qi是shi保bao障zhang性xing安an居ju工gong程cheng,大da力li支zhi持chi勞lao動dong密mi集ji型xing產chan業ye、服務業、小xiao微wei型xing企qi業ye和he民min營ying企qi業ye發fa展zhan,不bu斷duan增zeng加jia新xin的de創chuang業ye就jiu業ye機ji會hui。二er是shi立li足zu擴kuo大da內nei需xu實shi現xian經jing濟ji持chi續xu發fa展zhan,促cu進jin我wo國guo經jing濟ji增zeng長chang盡jin快kuai由you主zhu要yao依yi靠kao投tou資zi、出口拉動向依靠消費、投資、出口協調拉動轉變。與此同時,外貿企業多年苦心經營的國際市場份也絕不能輕易放棄。當前和今後一段時期,對外貿易應當緊緊圍繞“穩增長、調結構、促平衡”這3個支柱開展工作。要及時妥善解決外貿企業麵臨的實際困難,優化進出口產品結構、shichangjiegouhediqujiegou,tigaoduiwaimaoyidezhilianghexiaoyi,buduanzengqiangduiwaimaoyidekechixufazhannengli,haiyaotongguokuodajinkouhekuodaduiwaitouzi,nulicujinguojishouzhijibenpingheng。sanshibagengdadeliliangfangzaifazhanshitijingji,tebieshifuchizhanlvexingxinxingchanyeshanglai。yaojiakuaitigaoyuanshichuangxin、集ji成cheng創chuang新xin和he引yin進jin消xiao化hua吸xi收shou再zai創chuang新xin能neng力li,這zhe不bu僅jin有you利li於yu減jian少shao當dang前qian國guo際ji經jing濟ji複fu雜za環huan境jing的de不bu利li影ying響xiang,而er且qie是shi使shi我wo國guo經jing濟ji發fa展zhan具ju有you持chi久jiu競jing爭zheng力li的de關guan鍵jian所suo在zai。
麵對當前國內外經濟形勢的複雜變化,最重要的一條就是,各地區、各ge部bu門men要yao切qie實shi把ba思si想xiang和he行xing動dong統tong一yi到dao中zhong央yang對dui國guo際ji國guo內nei形xing勢shi的de科ke學xue判pan斷duan上shang來lai,統tong一yi到dao中zhong央yang對dui經jing濟ji社she會hui發fa展zhan作zuo出chu的de決jue策ce部bu署shu上shang來lai,上shang下xia一yi心xin,形xing成cheng合he力li,推tui動dong經jing濟ji走zou上shang有you活huo力li、可持續的增長軌道。這樣,我們才能把經濟工作的主動權牢牢掌握在自己手中,不斷開創經濟平穩較快發展的新局麵。