高端裝備製造業為七大新興產業之一

，而本屆政府的改革舉措將迎來高端裝備製造業的春天。

　　我國在經曆了30niandegaigekaifanghou，gexinggeyeyejinglilefeisufazhan，danshi
，conggaoduanzhuangbeizhizaoyefangmianbijiao，zhongguoyuxifangfadaguojiadechajurengxiandehenda。yiyizushuzikeyikuijianqizhongdaodiyouduoshaochaju。zhongguojiezhidaomuqian，zaijichuangshengchanfangmian，yijingzhanquanqiude38%
，也就是近幾年來全球熱議的所謂的“中國製造”現象，但是
，中國精密機床卻95%靠進口
，這表明“中國製造”的光環下麵，有一大片陰影
，或者說中國製造業其實是外強中幹。不僅在機床方麵，在電子設備方麵，比如銀行ATM機等
，精密設備仍然要依賴進口，諸如此類的不勝枚舉。38%的市場份額裏，中國其實都是外來加工
，我國這樣的工業企業其實也就是掙些吃飯錢而已，而大部分製造利潤都被外企拿走。

　　本屆政府不但在經濟結構上進行了大幅調整，在高端製造業方麵
，9月份也推出了實質性的舉措，李克強總理在9月份曾召開國務院常務會議
，針對企業設備普遍落後問題，推出了一籃子關於折舊方麵的措施，財政部也於本月20日下發了企業折舊的文件，此次改革舉措，筆者認為意義重大
，從新政本身分析

，企業可以從本年度1yuefenkaishizhixing，bingyicixingjiangjiudeheluohoushebeizhejiuwanbi，jirudangniansunyi，suiranqiyebiaomianshangnianduzhangdanbuhuixiandeduomehaokan，danyeyincikeyishaojiaobushaodeshuishou，juyouguanbumenchubujisuan
，shaojiaodeshuishouejiangdadaoshuqianyi，zheyijucuoshizaiguliqiyejinkuaitaotailuohoushebei，binggouruxianjinjingmishebei。conghongguanjingjijiaodufenxi，cijuzeyouyituidongwoguozhizaoyeshuiping，tebieshigaoduanzhuangbeizhizaoyezhizaoshuiping。keyixiangxiangdedao，zaibujiudejianglai
，woguojiangchuxianyiboduijingmishebeidetouzichao，congerhangshilezhizaoyejichu，rangzhizaoyedejichugenglaogu。

　　筆者曾對浙江義烏用機器人代替人做過一些分析，並認為浙江的舉動，是全麵提升工業化的一個重要步驟。義烏副市長手握8000億yi訂ding單dan
，對dui一yi些xie機ji器qi人ren以yi及ji精jing密mi機ji床chuang製zhi造zao企qi業ye來lai說shuo，是shi個ge福fu音yin。如ru果guo各ge省sheng市shi同tong樣yang學xue習xi浙zhe江jiang義yi烏wu的de做zuo法fa的de話hua，中zhong國guo的de製zhi造zao業ye將jiang迎ying來lai真zhen正zheng的de投tou資zi春chun天tian，而er這zhe春chun天tian裏li最zui絢xuan爛lan的de就jiu是shi高gao端duan裝zhuang備bei製zhi造zao設she備bei。

　　我(wo)國(guo)在(zai)精(jing)密(mi)機(ji)床(chuang)製(zhi)造(zao)領(ling)域(yu)，其(qi)實(shi)並(bing)不(bu)是(shi)沒(mei)有(you)千(qian)裏(li)馬(ma)

，比(bi)如(ru)沈(shen)陽(yang)機(ji)床(chuang)就(jiu)是(shi)我(wo)國(guo)這(zhe)方(fang)麵(mian)的(de)龍(long)頭(tou)企(qi)業(ye)，該(gai)企(qi)業(ye)經(jing)曆(li)了(le)數(shu)年(nian)的(de)研(yan)發(fa)投(tou)入(ru)後(hou)，已(yi)經(jing)成(cheng)為(wei)全(quan)球(qiu)最(zui)具(ju)競(jing)爭(zheng)力(li)的(de)精(jing)密(mi)機(ji)床(chuang)製(zhi)造(zao)企(qi)業(ye)之(zhi)一(yi)
，值(zhi)得(de)一(yi)提(ti)的(de)是(shi)，該(gai)企(qi)業(ye)還(hai)在(zai)全(quan)國(guo)範(fan)圍(wei)內(nei)建(jian)立(li)了(le)4S店銷售模式
，其中大部分為4S銷售
，直銷部分不足10%，huoxushenyangjichuangzaibujiudejianglaijiangyinguowuyuanguanyuqiyezhejiujucuodetuichueryinglaiyiboshengchanrechao
，gongqiuguanxiyejianghenkuaigaibian，jieshi
，shenyangjichuangzaijinglileshuniandeyanfatouruhou，zhongjiangyinglaibaihuamanyuanheshuoguoleileideyitian。

　　pingjiayigeguojiadeshiliruhe，bingbushikanzhegeguojiadefangdichanyeyouduomefada，ershizhongdiankanzhizaoye，deguohemeiguodoushiyizhizaoyejianchang，bingdedaolequanqiuderenke，woguosuiranfangdichanjiansheshixuyaode，danzhebingbushichangjiuzhiji
，zaiwanchenglechengshihuayihou

，fangdichanyejiangxianruzhenzhengdexiaotiao
，meiyouyigexingyenenggouchangqidaitizhizaoye。tongshi，zhizaoyedeshuipingruhe，yezhijiejuedingzhezhegeguojiadeshengchanxiaolv，anzhaojingjixueguandian
，weilaizhizaoyezongshichaozhewuxiantigaolaodongshengchanlvdefangxiangfazhan
，erzuoweishengchanliyaosuzhongderen，zezhujiancongyibanlaodongshengchanzhongjietuochulai
，fuwuyecaishirenqunjujidedifang
，tigaozhizaoyeshuipinghetishengfuwuyebizhong

，shixiangfuxiangchengde

，liangzhebingbumaodun，keyishuo
，zhizaoyeshuipingyuegao，fuwuyebizhongyehuiyuegao。zaifadaguojia，yigerenkeyipingjiejiqirenhuozhezidongshengchanxian，kanhushushitaijichuang，erzhongguozeshugerenweiraoyitaiputongdejichuanglaodongshengchan，zheqizhongdexiaolvchajubuyaneryu。

　　在評價一個國家的投資、chukouhexiaofeibizhongshi，jingchangjiandaoyourenshuo
，woguogudingzichantouzibizhongguogaozhileide，qishizhebingbuquanmian，zaifangdichanjianshegaochaoshiqi，zheyibizhongpiangaoshizhengchangde，danruguoguogao，zeyouzhizaoyeshoudaolengluozhixian，woguoguoqudeshijinianjian，qishiyizhibijiaopianaifangdichan，erduizhizaoyezhongdeshebeitouruzechaqiangrenyi，huozheshuo，zhengfugenbenjiumeiyouguanzhuguozhizaoyedechangqifazhan。lingyifangmian，gudingzichantouzibizhongguogao，zhuyaoshifangdichanfangmiandetouziguogao
，erzhizaoyezhongdeshebeitouzizexiandebeishoulengluo，yinci，bizherenwei，gudingzichantouzirengranshixuyaode，danyingduizhizaoyezhongdeshebeitourujinxingyixietisheng，gaishanzhizaoyedetouzihuanjing，ruciyilai，fangdichandetouzibizhongzaixiangguanxindaizhengceyingxiangxia，jiangchengxiahuaqushi
，erzhizaoyeyinshebeizhejiucuoshidetuixing
，jiangdedaoquanmiantishengneizaijingzhengli，zongheeryan，guojiadegudingzichantouzijiegoujiuxiandejiaoweiheli
，qiechangqikan，zhizaoyeshebeitouzixiangjiaofangdichantouzi，jiangjuyou“永恒”特征。

　　特別值得一提的是
，目前全球都麵臨“人口老齡化”這一不可避免的現象，而同時，在我國農村，613899現(xian)象(xiang)比(bi)較(jiao)普(pu)遍(bian)，即(ji)兒(er)童(tong)婦(fu)女(nv)老(lao)人(ren)成(cheng)為(wei)農(nong)村(cun)人(ren)口(kou)的(de)特(te)有(you)的(de)現(xian)象(xiang)，城(cheng)市(shi)裏(li)雖(sui)然(ran)人(ren)口(kou)結(jie)構(gou)比(bi)較(jiao)農(nong)村(cun)要(yao)好(hao)，但(dan)同(tong)樣(yang)也(ye)麵(mian)臨(lin)人(ren)口(kou)老(lao)齡(ling)化(hua)的(de)製(zhi)約(yue)，因(yin)而(er)自(zi)本(ben)屆(jie)政(zheng)府(fu)開(kai)始(shi)
，有(you)條(tiao)件(jian)的(de)放(fang)開(kai)二(er)胎(tai)就(jiu)顯(xian)得(de)格(ge)外(wai)必(bi)要(yao)。衛(wei)生(sheng)部(bu)門(men)發(fa)言(yan)人(ren)稱(cheng)，可(ke)能(neng)在(zai)未(wei)來(lai)兩(liang)年(nian)內(nei)，人(ren)口(kou)將(jiang)有(you)望(wang)全(quan)麵(mian)放(fang)開(kai)，不(bu)再(zai)實(shi)行(xing)目(mu)前(qian)的(de)計(ji)劃(hua)生(sheng)育(yu)政(zheng)策(ce)。不(bu)過(guo)，就(jiu)目(mu)前(qian)而(er)言(yan)，人(ren)工(gong)成(cheng)本(ben)的(de)上(shang)升(sheng)
，不(bu)可(ke)避(bi)免(mian)地(di)對(dui)企(qi)業(ye)用(yong)工(gong)產(chan)生(sheng)了(le)一(yi)些(xie)負(fu)麵(mian)影(ying)響(xiang)，而(er)未(wei)來(lai)唯(wei)一(yi)的(de)途(tu)徑(jing)就(jiu)是(shi)提(ti)高(gao)生(sheng)產(chan)力(li)水(shui)平(ping)，提(ti)高(gao)設(she)備(bei)投(tou)資(zi)水(shui)平(ping)，特(te)別(bie)是(shi)提(ti)高(gao)高(gao)端(duan)裝(zhuang)備(bei)的(de)使(shi)用(yong)量(liang)
，將(jiang)顯(xian)著(zhu)改(gai)善(shan)這(zhe)種(zhong)狀(zhuang)況(kuang)，機(ji)器(qi)人(ren)代(dai)替(ti)人(ren)工(gong)
，以(yi)及(ji)自(zi)動(dong)生(sheng)產(chan)線(xian)將(jiang)成(cheng)為(wei)製(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)的(de)主(zhu)要(yao)競(jing)爭(zheng)內(nei)容(rong)。

　　zhongguojingjimianlinhuandangqi
，congshizhishangshuo

，yifangmiangaishanjingjijiegou，jitigaofuwuyebizhong，lingyifangmianyeshizhongguozhizaoyemianlindiercichuntian
，guoqudenazhongcufangshijingyingyijingbushiyingdangjinshijiedejingjixingshi，yineryitigaozhizaoyegudingzichantouzizhubuqudaifangdichantouzi，congershidezhengtigudingzichantouzigengweiheli。benjiezhengfuzhankailequanqiuwaijiaogongshi，congxizhuxideouzhousiguo
，daolameisiguo，zaidaozhongyasiguodefangwen
，yijiguoneiwaizimaoqudetanpan
，keyiyujian，zhongguodechukouyeyemianlindiercichuntian
，zheweicijizhongguozhizaoyezuolequanmiandepudian，youleqiangyoulideguojimaoyi
，zhizaoyejianglvxianshouyi。genjuzuijinlikeqiangzonglifangwendeguosuoqiandedingdan，tebieshilikeqiangzongliyudeguozongligongtongzhuchiluntanshisuobiaodachulaideyixiangfenxi，weilaizhongguochukoumaoyizhong，jiangmingxianzengjiaduizhonggaoduanchanpindechukounengli，eryongyouxianjindeshengchanxian，zejiangshiqiyechuyuyoulidejingzhengweizhi，keyishuo，shuizhuazhulecicigaigejihui，shuijiangdiyigexiudaochuntiandeweidao。 （本文作者陳維君係職業投資人
、和訊評論特約研究員，有著二十年的股票和期貨投資經驗）