因為市長在央視談機器換人，所以最近“東莞機器換人”成為財經熱詞。一位在媒體工作的外地朋友問我
，機器人入侵，東莞是不是又熱鬧起來了
，有沒有失業工人上街表達訴求？

wenqingmaimaidejishubiangeyinfalelunlishangdejiaolv。keguandishuo，zhezhongfanyingbingbulingrenyiwai，jishubenshenjiujuyouliangmianxing。tazaikuozhanrenleishengcunkongjiandetongshi，yekenenggeirenleidailaixindetiaozhan。

那麼，東莞正在力推的機器換人是否真的會導致技術性失業？如果會，我們該如何看待技術性失業問題
？

回(hui)答(da)這(zhe)些(xie)問(wen)題(ti)，要(yao)回(hui)到(dao)東(dong)莞(guan)缺(que)工(gong)這(zhe)個(ge)前(qian)提(ti)。機(ji)器(qi)換(huan)人(ren)聽(ting)上(shang)去(qu)很(hen)時(shi)髦(mao)，但(dan)對(dui)企(qi)業(ye)家(jia)來(lai)說(shuo)，卻(que)是(shi)要(yao)付(fu)出(chu)真(zhen)金(jin)白(bai)銀(yin)的(de)代(dai)價(jia)。以(yi)製(zhi)鞋(xie)業(ye)為(wei)例(li)
，原(yuan)來(lai)普(pu)通(tong)機(ji)器(qi)一(yi)台(tai)隻(zhi)要(yao)一(yi)兩(liang)千(qian)元(yuan)
，由(you)於(yu)找(zhao)不(bu)到(dao)工(gong)人(ren)，不(bu)得(de)已(yi)企(qi)業(ye)需(xu)要(yao)采(cai)用(yong)自(zi)動(dong)化(hua)程(cheng)度(du)更(geng)高(gao)的(de)機(ji)器(qi)，而(er)新(xin)機(ji)器(qi)售(shou)價(jia)則(ze)要(yao)上(shang)萬(wan)元(yuan)。對(dui)於(yu)大(da)多(duo)數(shu)企(qi)業(ye)來(lai)說(shuo)，顯(xian)然(ran)會(hui)首(shou)選(xuan)人(ren)工(gong)，而(er)不(bu)是(shi)機(ji)器(qi)。從(cong)投(tou)資(zi)風(feng)險(xian)的(de)角(jiao)度(du)來(lai)說(shuo)
，工(gong)人(ren)工(gong)資(zi)是(shi)以(yi)月(yue)為(wei)單(dan)位(wei)的(de)分(fen)期(qi)付(fu)款(kuan)
，置(zhi)換(huan)新(xin)機(ji)器(qi)則(ze)是(shi)一(yi)次(ci)性(xing)巨(ju)額(e)投(tou)入(ru)。很(hen)顯(xian)然(ran)，前(qian)者(zhe)的(de)風(feng)險(xian)要(yao)小(xiao)很(hen)多(duo)。因(yin)此(ci)，“機器吃掉人工崗位”的進程，會比外界想象的要穩健和謹慎得多。

dangran
，yebupaichuyoushilihuoyoubaofudeqiye
，congchangyuanbujuchufa，tiqianjiangxianyougangweishengji，tuixingwurenhuoshaorendezidonghuashengchanxian。biruweimeitaoci
，zaozaishunianqian，jiuduishengchanxianjinxinglezidonghuagaizao。zhezhongqingkuangxia，keguandishuo，gongrentiaogangshenzhitiaogangbuchengdaozhideduanqishiyedoushicunzaide。danzhezhongtiaozhengbingfeidoushihuaishi，shijishangtayeshiweileyingduixinjishusuotichudejiyuyutiaozhan
、rangxinjishufahuizuidaxiaoyongdeyouxiaojucuo。conggengdafanweilaikan

，jishuxingshiyebingbushiwentidezhuyaofangmian。licijishugemingdeshijianzhengming，xinjishudailaidexindeshengchanlihexindexuqiu，huicuifagengduoxindegangwei。huanjuhuashuo，shengchanlishuipingdetigao，yiweizhewomenxuyaogengduoerbushigengshaodelaodongli。

danduiyudangegongrenlaishuo

，duanqishiyezhitongshifeichangjutihefengfude。yinci，shehuigefangxuyaokaolvdeshi，ruhecainengjiangdizhezhongqiefuzhitongduigetideshanghai。duiyuqiyeguanlizhelaishuo
，yinweixindegongzuoxuyaogenggaodejinenghuogengduodezhishi

，tongguopeixunquebaogongrennenggoushengrenxingongzuojiuxiandefeichangzhongyao。

利li用yong培pei訓xun來lai解jie決jue工gong人ren對dui技ji術shu變bian化hua的de適shi應ying性xing問wen題ti，實shi際ji上shang就jiu是shi在zai提ti升sheng勞lao動dong力li的de素su質zhi。從cong這zhe個ge角jiao度du來lai看kan，機ji器qi換huan人ren並bing不bu意yi味wei著zhe我wo國guo人ren口kou紅hong利li的de消xiao散san，消xiao散san的de隻zhi是shi數shu量liang上shang的de人ren口kou紅hong利li
，素su質zhi意yi義yi上shang的de人ren口kou紅hong利li才cai剛gang剛gang開kai始shi。發fa軔ren於yu機ji器qi換huan人ren的de勞lao動dong力li再zai培pei訓xun，既ji提ti升sheng了le勞lao動dong者zhe的de技ji能neng

，也ye必bi將jiang推tui動dong城cheng市shi的de升sheng級ji。而er生sheng活huo在zai東dong莞guan這zhe座zuo城cheng市shi裏li的de每mei個ge市shi民min，最zui終zhong都dou能neng從cong中zhong受shou益yi。