Manufacturing Overcapacity Constrains Industrial Robot Market Growth in China
製造業產能過剩抑製中國工業機器人市場增長

The Chinese market for industrial robots reached an estimated $1.3 billion in 2015. This market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20 percent, reaching $3.3 billion in 2020,according to IHS Inc. (NYSE: IHS), the leading global source of critical information and insight. China accounted for 13 percent of global industrial robot sales revenue in 2015, and is expected to comprise 25 percent in 2020.

全球領先的市場研究公司IHS統計表明，2015年中國工業機器人市場規模達13億美元，而且將保持20%的年複合增長率，到2020年達33億美元。2015年，中國的工業機器人銷售收入占全球13%，預計這一數字到2020年將達25%。

“The much-needed regeneration of the manufacturing industry is a multi-billion dollar opportunity for the industrial robot market,” said Mark Watson, senior manager, manufacturing technology, IHS Technology. “Labor-intensive industries are increasingly automating production, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region where labor costs have risen quickly. Labor shortages have led to increasing wages, shortening the potential return on investment of industrial robots for many end-users.”

“製造業迫切的複蘇有望為工業機器人市場帶來數十億美元的發展機遇，”IHS製造科技部高級經理Mark Watson表示。“勞lao動dong密mi集ji型xing產chan業ye越yue來lai越yue傾qing向xiang於yu自zi動dong化hua生sheng產chan，尤you其qi是shi在zai勞lao動dong力li成cheng本ben迅xun速su攀pan升sheng的de亞ya太tai地di區qu。勞lao動dong力li短duan缺que導dao致zhi工gong資zi上shang漲zhang，進jin而er減jian少shao了le很hen多duo終zhong端duan用yong戶hu的de潛qian在zai投tou資zi收shou益yi。”

As capacity utilization begins to increase in 2018, industrial robot adoption will accelerate, as end-users start to optimize the technology in their factories and prices fall. Increasing labor costs, low commodity prices, and competition from other low-cost manufacturing regions, will promote further adoption of industrial robots. The effect of China’s 13th strategic plan is expected to positively impact growth in beginning in 2018, providing direct access to credit and tax relief, which will increase investment.

隨著產能利用率的提升
，終端用戶對工廠的技術優化以及價格降低，到2018年
，工業機器人的應用率將大大加速。而伴隨逐漸增加的勞動力成本、低(di)廉(lian)的(de)商(shang)品(pin)價(jia)格(ge)，和(he)與(yu)其(qi)他(ta)低(di)製(zhi)造(zao)成(cheng)本(ben)地(di)區(qu)之(zhi)間(jian)的(de)激(ji)烈(lie)競(jing)爭(zheng)，工(gong)業(ye)機(ji)器(qi)人(ren)的(de)應(ying)用(yong)將(jiang)進(jin)一(yi)步(bu)擴(kuo)大(da)。在(zai)十(shi)三(san)五(wu)規(gui)劃(hua)下(xia)，由(you)於(yu)獲(huo)得(de)直(zhi)接(jie)信(xin)貸(dai)和(he)稅(shui)收(shou)減(jian)免(mian)
，企(qi)業(ye)能(neng)加(jia)大(da)機(ji)器(qi)人(ren)投(tou)資(zi)，從(cong)而(er)有(you)利(li)於(yu)工(gong)業(ye)機(ji)器(qi)人(ren)市(shi)場(chang)的(de)增(zeng)長(chang)。

However, according to the latest research from the IHS Industrial Robots Intelligence Service, manufacturing overcapacity in many industries -- particularly heavy industries -- has the potential to limit robot market growth, particularly considering the poor short-term outlook of the Chinese economy. Local manufacturers are unlikely to spend considerable sums of money to install industrial robots, in light of excess capacity and a reduced need for productivity improvements. The alternative is to employ temporary workers, which is a flexible and a less capital-intensive process for many local manufacturers. However, labor shortages will continue in China, as the economy continues its shift to a service-based model.

然而，IHSgongyejiqirenqingbaofuwubudezuixinyanjiuxianshi
，zhongguoduanqijingjiqianjingbuming，henduoxingyedouchuxianchannengguoshengdeqingkuang

，youyizhonggongyeweishen，zhejiangxianzhigongyejiqirenshichangzengchang。zaizhezhongqingkuangxia，dangdizhizaoshangtigaoshengchanlvdexuqiubuda

，yincibutaikenengtourudaliangzijinanzhuanggongyejiqiren。xiangfan，tamengengyuanyiguyonglinshigongren
，yinweizheduitamenlaishuogenglinghuo

、資本密集程度更低。但隨著中國經濟持續向服務型經濟轉變，勞動力短缺的問題將越來越明顯。

“The need to improve flexibility and identify production efficiencies underpins industrial robot investment,” Watson said. “By installing robots that easily adjust to production levels and manufacturing processes, companies can save on labor costs and rely less on temporary unskilled workers.”

“製造商對生產靈活性和明確的生產效率的需求，支撐著對工業機器人的投資
，”Watson說道。“采用機器人後，企業可以輕鬆地調整生產水平和製造流程，還可以節省人力成本，降低對臨時工的依賴。”

Robot suppliers headquartered outside of China accounted for over 80 percent of 2015 industrial robot sales in China. These companies maintain a dominant presence in the market, because they have established relationships with leading end users and provide high-quality hardware, software and support services.

2015年，外資品牌占據了中國工業機器人銷量總額的80%以yi上shang。這zhe些xie企qi業ye在zai中zhong國guo的de機ji器qi人ren市shi場chang占zhan據ju著zhe主zhu導dao地di位wei，因yin為wei他ta們men已yi經jing與yu國guo內nei主zhu要yao的de終zhong端duan用yong戶hu建jian立li了le合he作zuo關guan係xi，提ti供gong高gao質zhi量liang的de軟ruan硬ying件jian及ji支zhi持chi服fu務wu。

“Industrial robot market leaders in China invest substantially in research and development, facilitating the penetration of collaborative robots, deep machine learning, artificial intelligence and other emerging technologies, to ensure they lead the future of the industry,” Watson said. “As a result, local Chinese suppliers face a considerable challenge in securing market share.”

“中國工業機器人領導企業在研發上投入大量資金
，用於研製擁有協作能力
、深度學習能力的產品，提高其人工智能水平以及開發其他新興技術，從而確保他們在行業競爭中占據有利位置，”Watson表示。“因此，中國本地供應商麵臨激烈的市場份額爭奪戰。”