中國自動化學會專家谘詢工作委員會指定宣傳媒體
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機器人革命太快或將導致貧困激增?

http://www.kadhoai.com.cn 2026-04-07 16:13:59 來源:網易智能

ruguoniwenyiweijingjixuejiahuojishuzhuanjiaguanyuzidonghuaduishehuideyingxiang,tamenhuihengaoxingdigaosuni,shushiniandekekaoshujuxianshi,zidonghuachuangzaodejiuyejihuibitasuocuihuideyaoduo。

liru,xianzainongchanggongzuoderenbiyiqianshaodeduo,shiyinweigaoxiaodejiqiwanchengledabufengongzuo。zhezhongjishutigaoleshengchanlv,bingfazhanleshenghuoshuiping。yinci,yuelaiyueduoderenkaishizaixiuxianyuleyegongzuo,rujiedaihuomeifa,tamendedaolegenggaodeshouruhegengduodexianxiashijian。

如果這種模式繼續下去,人們可以設想未來工作時間會減少,如同JohnMaynardKeynes在1930年做出的預測那樣,人們的工作時間會減少到15個小時。(JohnMaynardKeynes預測未來人類的工作時間將會大幅縮短,而休假的時間將會大幅延長,到了21世紀,普通人每天隻需要工作3個小時)

《衛報》曾暢想過自動化的未來:weilaijiangyougengshaodeshangdianhegengshaodelingshoudianyuan,dixindelingshouyehefeijishuxinggongzuohenkuaijiuhuizidongxiaoshi。renmenjianghuijinglizenyangdegaibian?raner,zhexieleguandeguandianyouyigewenti,tazhiguanzhudafanweidepingjunzhi,erjihumeiyoukaolvdaogerenjingli。zaiyingguo,youyujishuchanshengdegongzuojiyuanbiqizaochengdeshiyerenshuyaoduo。danduiyunaxiezaiyingguozhongbudiqudeqichegongchanglidiudiaogongzuoderenlaishuo,zhebingbushishenmehaoshi,tamenfaxiandaduoshuxinchanshengdegongzuojihuitamendounanyiqiji。

zhiqiandeyanjiuyemeiyoukaolvdaojishubiangedebufa,zhezaiweilaikenenghuigengkuaishixian。huanjuhuashuo,zaiguoqudejishinianli,daduoshurendoukeyizhujiandizhaodaoxindegongzuojihui,zhishikenengzhaogongzuodekunnanchengdubutong。danzaiweilai,jishubiangeyoukuaiyouguang,daduoshurenbutaikenengqingyishiying。

對dui各ge國guo政zheng府fu來lai說shuo,他ta們men迫po切qie需xu要yao采cai取qu措cuo施shi,以yi確que保bao機ji器qi人ren的de發fa展zhan不bu會hui進jin一yi步bu加jia劇ju社she會hui差cha距ju。在zai理li想xiang情qing況kuang下xia,自zi動dong化hua提ti高gao生sheng產chan率lv和he整zheng體ti經jing濟ji增zeng長chang,因yin此ci將jiang資zi金jin投tou入ru到dao提ti高gao自zi動dong化hua水shui平ping上shang是shi一yi種zhong誘you人ren的de做zuo法fa,但dan在zai安an置zhi因yin詞ci下xia崗gang的de工gong人ren問wen題ti上shang,如ru果guo沒mei有you明ming確que的de計ji劃hua,將jiang對dui數shu百bai萬wan人ren造zao成cheng難nan以yi估gu量liang的de傷shang害hai。

機(ji)器(qi)人(ren)革(ge)命(ming)就(jiu)要(yao)來(lai)了(le)。他(ta)們(men)會(hui)帶(dai)來(lai)財(cai)富(fu)還(hai)是(shi)進(jin)一(yi)步(bu)的(de)社(she)會(hui)分(fen)層(ceng)?正(zheng)如(ru)公(gong)共(gong)政(zheng)策(ce)研(yan)究(jiu)所(suo)指(zhi)出(chu)的(de)那(na)樣(yang),一(yi)些(xie)工(gong)人(ren)比(bi)自(zi)動(dong)化(hua)的(de)工(gong)具(ju)更(geng)有(you)價(jia)值(zhi)。公(gong)共(gong)政(zheng)策(ce)研(yan)究(jiu)所(suo)指(zhi)出(chu)了(le)低(di)技(ji)能(neng)行(xing)業(ye)的(de)特(te)殊(shu)風(feng)險(xian),並(bing)警(jing)告(gao)稱(cheng),機(ji)器(qi)人(ren)革(ge)命(ming)可(ke)能(neng)會(hui)擴(kuo)大(da)英(ying)國(guo)已(yi)然(ran)根(gen)深(shen)蒂(di)固(gu)的(de)南(nan)北(bei)差(cha)距(ju)。

公gong共gong政zheng策ce研yan究jiu所suo呼hu籲xu,在zai教jiao育yu和he再zai培pei訓xun方fang麵mian應ying該gai增zeng加jia投tou資zi,並bing將jiang資zi金jin優you先xian用yong於yu遠yuan離li首shou都dou的de地di區qu,這zhe些xie地di區qu的de人ren們men需xu要yao適shi應ying,因yin為wei自zi動dong化hua會hui改gai變bian他ta們men的de工gong作zuo。如ru果guo政zheng府fu不bu采cai取qu行xing動dong,那na麼me結jie果guo很hen可ke能neng是shi在zai技ji術shu水shui平ping最zui低di的de地di方fang,失shi業ye和he貧pin困kun人ren口kou激ji增zeng,這zhe是shi政zheng府fu難nan以yi承cheng受shou的de代dai價jia。

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