http://www.kadhoai.com.cn 2026-04-07 13:25:24 來源:東西智庫
摘要:中zhong國guo正zheng處chu於yu從cong傳chuan統tong工gong業ye社she會hui向xiang發fa達da工gong業ye社she會hui轉zhuan變bian的de後hou工gong業ye化hua階jie段duan。按an照zhao金jin融rong發fa展zhan理li論lun,產chan業ye結jie構gou的de變bian化hua會hui導dao致zhi金jin融rong結jie構gou的de變bian遷qian。在zai後hou工gong業ye化hua階jie段duan,中zhong國guo製zhi造zao業ye呈cheng現xian出chu綠lv色se化hua、數字化、服務化、高端化的基本趨勢,對應著產生了綠色金融、數字金融、供應鏈金融、科ke技ji金jin融rong等deng金jin融rong需xu求qiu。商shang業ye銀yin行xing為wei了le更geng好hao地di服fu務wu製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji,尤you其qi是shi為wei快kuai速su湧yong現xian出chu的de專zhuan精jing特te新xin企qi業ye提ti供gong全quan生sheng命ming周zhou期qi金jin融rong服fu務wu,需xu要yao在zai公gong司si治zhi理li、經營管理、產品和服務創新等多方麵進行係統性的轉型。其中,科技金融、數字供應鏈金融、綠色金融和財富管理是商業銀行在後工業化時代支持製造業升級的主要轉型方向。本文來源《新金融》2023年第12期
一、問題的提出
中國經濟的核心競爭力在於製造業。中國是工業大國,2022年製造業增加值占世界比重接近30%。同時中國也是全世界工業門類最齊全,產業鏈、供應鏈最完整的國家,2020-2022年間表現出的商品生產和供應能力就是最好的證明。回顧曆史,中國卓越的製造業是與勞動力要素稟賦、改革開放的經濟政策、市場化和全球化的原動力、fazhanzhongdaguojingjidexuqiuqianlidengyinsumiqiexiangguan,yelibukaiyishangyeyinxingweizhudaodejinrongfuwutixidezhichi。keyishuozhongguosishiniandegongyehualicheng,yeshizhongguojinrongfazhanhejinrongshichanghuagaigedelicheng,shishangyeyinxingjingyingguanlixiandaihuazhuanxingdelicheng。
今天,放在工業化的一般進程和中國獨特國情及特定發展階段的時空坐標下,中國已經進入從傳統工業向發達工業過渡的“後工業化時代”,製(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)正(zheng)麵(mian)臨(lin)新(xin)的(de)發(fa)展(zhan)機(ji)會(hui)和(he)更(geng)加(jia)複(fu)雜(za)的(de)國(guo)內(nei)外(wai)挑(tiao)戰(zhan)。中(zhong)國(guo)金(jin)融(rong)體(ti)係(xi)的(de)市(shi)場(chang)化(hua)也(ye)進(jin)入(ru)了(le)關(guan)鍵(jian)時(shi)期(qi),如(ru)何(he)更(geng)好(hao)地(di)服(fu)務(wu)實(shi)體(ti)經(jing)濟(ji)尤(you)其(qi)是(shi)支(zhi)持(chi)製(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)產(chan)業(ye)升(sheng)級(ji),是(shi)新(xin)時(shi)代(dai)中(zhong)國(guo)金(jin)融(rong)業(ye)的(de)重(zhong)要(yao)使(shi)命(ming)。根(gen)據(ju)金(jin)融(rong)發(fa)展(zhan)與(yu)經(jing)濟(ji)增(zeng)長(chang)理(li)論(lun),金(jin)融(rong)結(jie)構(gou)與(yu)產(chan)業(ye)結(jie)構(gou)有(you)非(fei)常(chang)高(gao)的(de)關(guan)聯(lian)度(du),產(chan)業(ye)結(jie)構(gou)的(de)變(bian)遷(qian)必(bi)定(ding)伴(ban)隨(sui)著(zhe)金(jin)融(rong)結(jie)構(gou)的(de)變(bian)遷(qian)(戈德史密斯,1994)。一yi般ban認ren為wei,一yi個ge以yi重zhong工gong業ye為wei主zhu的de經jing濟ji體ti必bi定ding也ye伴ban隨sui著zhe以yi商shang業ye銀yin行xing主zhu導dao的de間jian接jie融rong資zi體ti係xi,而er高gao新xin技ji術shu產chan業ye伴ban隨sui的de則ze是shi以yi資zi本ben市shi場chang為wei主zhu導dao的de直zhi接jie融rong資zi體ti係xi。這zhe種zhong產chan業ye—金融結構適配已經得到了理論和實證的證明(Rajan et al.,2001;Carlin et al.,2003)。很顯然,來自重工業的抵押品信用屬性與商業銀行的授信偏好天然匹配,來自高新技術產業的企業具有缺乏抵押品、高風險、高收益的特征與資本市場的風險—shouyifenbuquxianyoushigaoduqihe。conglingyigejiaodu,ruguojinrongjiegoubushiyingchanyejiegoudeshengji,jinrongtixijiuhennanjixuzhichiyijingshengjidezhizaoyeshiyetixi,shenzhihaihuizhiyuezhizaoyechanyedeshengji。zhezaiyigechuyuhougongyehuajinchengzhongdejingjitibiaoxiandeyouweimingxian。
中國當前可能正麵臨這種金融結構與產業結構不相適應的挑戰。一方麵,中國的製造業快速發展,產業升級加速推進,從過去的高耗能、重資產、高杠杆的重工業模式,轉向低碳化、輕資產、低di杠gang杆gan的de創chuang新xin型xing模mo式shi。另ling一yi方fang麵mian,以yi商shang業ye銀yin行xing為wei主zhu的de金jin融rong體ti係xi市shi場chang化hua雖sui然ran也ye在zai加jia快kuai推tui進jin,但dan是shi整zheng個ge經jing營ying管guan理li模mo式shi陷xian入ru傳chuan統tong金jin融rong模mo式shi的de路lu徑jing依yi賴lai中zhong,依yi然ran保bao持chi以yi抵di押ya品pin和he政zheng府fu信xin用yong擔dan保bao為wei主zhu導dao的de低di風feng險xian授shou信xin偏pian好hao,還hai不bu能neng較jiao好hao的de服fu務wu製zhi造zao業ye的de產chan業ye升sheng級ji(李成青等,2019)。尤其是對於中國後工業化進程中湧現出的專精特新企業,商業銀行既缺乏服務的主動性(授信意願),又缺乏相關的專業素養和風險控製能力。這種現象導致了今天出現的產融資源錯配問題:yifangmianzhuanjingtexinqiyequefazugoudejinrongzhichi,lingyifangmianshangyeyinxingzaifangdichanhedifangzhaiwuzhiliqijianzhaobudaoheyideshouxinduixiang,zaochenglezhizaoyerongzinanheshangyeyinxing“資產荒”同時出現的奇特現象。
本文的出發點就是基於中國當前存在的這種產業—jinrongcuopeixianxiang,tantaozhongguozaixianghougongyeshehuiyanjinguochengzhong,zhongguozhizaoyexingchengyizhuanjingtexindaliangyongxianweizhuyaotezhengdechanyeshengjijieduan,zuoweizhongguojinrongtixihexinzuchengbufendeshangyeyinxing,yinggairuhezouchuchuantongshouxinmoshidelujingyilai,yigenghaofuwuzhongguozhizaoyechanyeshengji?zhegewentijuyouzhongyaodelilunyiyihexianshijinpoxing。benwenxianconggongyehuajinchengdelishishiyefenxizhongguozhizaoyeshengjisuoxuanzedefangxianghemianlindetiaozhan,ranhoutantaozhizaoyezaishengjiguochengzhongsuochanshengdejinrongxuqiu,zuihoutichushangyeyinxingweinenggenghaofuwuzhizaoyeshengji,youqishifuwuyongxianchudezhuanjingtexinqiye,suoxuyaozaigongsizhili、經營管理和業務創新方麵進行的轉型。本文認為,在後工業化和製造業升級的大背景下,商業銀行應該加快向科技金融、數字供應鏈金融、綠色金融和財富管理四個方向轉型。
二、後工業時代與中國製造業升級
經(jing)曆(li)了(le)近(jin)半(ban)個(ge)世(shi)紀(ji)的(de)工(gong)業(ye)化(hua)曆(li)程(cheng),中(zhong)國(guo)已(yi)經(jing)從(cong)一(yi)個(ge)農(nong)業(ye)大(da)國(guo)轉(zhuan)變(bian)成(cheng)了(le)工(gong)業(ye)大(da)國(guo)。從(cong)各(ge)項(xiang)指(zhi)標(biao)和(he)表(biao)現(xian)來(lai)看(kan),中(zhong)國(guo)已(yi)經(jing)基(ji)本(ben)完(wan)成(cheng)了(le)工(gong)業(ye)化(hua)進(jin)程(cheng),可(ke)以(yi)說(shuo)是(shi)當(dang)前(qian)進(jin)入(ru)了(le)後(hou)工(gong)業(ye)化(hua)時(shi)代(dai)。後(hou)工(gong)業(ye)化(hua)意(yi)味(wei)著(zhe)中(zhong)國(guo)需(xu)要(yao)改(gai)變(bian)傳(chuan)統(tong)工(gong)業(ye)時(shi)代(dai)以(yi)規(gui)模(mo)、要素數量和速度為主導的發展模式,逐步轉向以效率、技術進步和創新為主導的高質量發展模式。
(一)中國進入後工業化階段
丹尼爾·貝爾(2018)miaoshudehougongyeshidaidetujing,suiranshiyimeiguoweilanben,danshibiaoxianchudejibentezhengyuzhongguodeqingkuangjibenfuhe,biruzhizaoyedefuwuhua,zhishijingjihezhuanjiaxingrencaidejueqi,disanchanyebizhongdeshangshengdengdeng。queqiedishuo,zhongguobingfeiyijingjinrulehougongyeshehui,ershigongyehuajinrulemoqi,biaoxianchulehougongyeshehuideyixiezhuyaotezheng。
按照丹尼爾.貝爾(2018)deshuofa,hougongyeshehuiyouwugehexintezheng,yishichanyejiegoufangmian,fuwuyekaishijueqi,shehuiziyuankaishicongshengchanduanxiangfuwuduanzhuanyi,chuantonggongyechannengxiangduibaohe,gengduodeyaosuxuqiuzaiyanfa、設計、銷售、物流等服務領域。二是職業結構方麵,專業技術人員,專用型人才和專家,取代企業家、資本家成為主角。三是工具結構方麵,人們更加依靠知識、信息、shujulaikexuejueceheguihua,erbushixiangchuantonggongyeshehuinayangzhuyaoyikaojingyan。sishiziyuanjiegoufangmian,zhishijingjishehuidetezhengbiaoxiandegengjiamingxian,jishuheyanfaziyuanchengweishehuide“中軸”。五是社會結構方麵,科學家、工程師、專業技術人員、意見領袖等知識精英成為社會的中堅力量。總之,後工業化是從以機器設備、廠房不動產等固定資產、重資產為核心要素的生產型模式,轉換為以知識、信息、科技、人才等無形資產、輕資產為主導的服務型模式的演化過程。
中zhong國guo當dang前qian還hai不bu是shi發fa達da工gong業ye社she會hui,但dan是shi已yi經jing進jin入ru了le後hou工gong業ye化hua階jie段duan。後hou工gong業ye化hua是shi一yi個ge動dong態tai過guo程cheng,是shi從cong傳chuan統tong工gong業ye社she會hui向xiang後hou工gong業ye和he發fa達da工gong業ye社she會hui轉zhuan型xing的de過guo渡du階jie段duan。其qi典dian型xing的de表biao現xian是shi過guo去qu的de低di要yao素su成cheng本ben優you勢shi已yi經jing難nan以yi維wei係xi,高gao附fu加jia值zhi產chan品pin占zhan比bi越yue來lai越yue高gao,國guo際ji競jing爭zheng力li越yue來lai越yue強qiang,培pei育yu了le大da量liang的de工gong程cheng師shi、jishuzhuanjiadengzhishijingyinghezhongchanjieceng,gaohaonengchanpinzhanbiyuelaiyuedi,chanpinyuelaiyuezhuzhongzhilianghepinpai,yuanchuangxingjishuhechanpinyuelaiyueduo,buzaizhuyaokaomofanghexuexi,zibenkaishixiangwaishuchu,kuaguogongsiyingxiangliyuelaiyueda,dengdeng。dangran,yebansuizhehougongyehuajinchengzhongdegezhongwenti,birujingjijinronghuasuduguokuai,jingjitixiyuelaiyuebuwending;人口老齡化加速,人口增速快速降低;教育、醫療、養老等社會問題變得日益突出,出現了房地產泡沫,非貿易品價格通脹等。
(二)後工業化階段要求中國製造業必須加快升級
後(hou)工(gong)業(ye)化(hua)進(jin)程(cheng)的(de)一(yi)個(ge)最(zui)大(da)特(te)征(zheng),也(ye)是(shi)推(tui)動(dong)進(jin)程(cheng)的(de)核(he)心(xin)動(dong)力(li),就(jiu)是(shi)產(chan)業(ye)升(sheng)級(ji)。從(cong)產(chan)業(ye)演(yan)進(jin)的(de)一(yi)般(ban)規(gui)律(lv)來(lai)看(kan),一(yi)個(ge)國(guo)家(jia)的(de)工(gong)業(ye)化(hua)進(jin)程(cheng)演(yan)進(jin)到(dao)後(hou)期(qi),必(bi)定(ding)伴(ban)隨(sui)著(zhe)新(xin)舊(jiu)技(ji)術(shu)、模式、動力的迭代升級。核心的機理有兩個:yishiyouyuyigeguojiadeziyuanbingfujiegoufashengbianhua,jierchengbenjiegoubianhuadaozhishengchankenengxingquxianfashengbianhua,gaiguoguoqudebijiaoyoushibiandeyuguoqubuyiyang,bixuzhonggougonggeiquxianyibianyuxindebijiaoyoushixiangpipei,bingxiaochuhuojiangdiguoqudehoufayoushibianwei“後發劣勢”的可能性。二是國際競爭格局發生變化,新的競爭者崛起,原來的產品如果不能升級就有被替代的威脅;客戶需求也在不斷升級,對品質有了更高的要求。
中(zhong)國(guo)當(dang)前(qian)正(zheng)麵(mian)臨(lin)著(zhe)後(hou)工(gong)業(ye)化(hua)進(jin)程(cheng)中(zhong)典(dian)型(xing)的(de)矛(mao)盾(dun),也(ye)是(shi)推(tui)動(dong)進(jin)程(cheng)的(de)基(ji)本(ben)動(dong)力(li)。中(zhong)國(guo)製(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)必(bi)須(xu)加(jia)快(kuai)升(sheng)級(ji),才(cai)能(neng)順(shun)利(li)走(zou)完(wan)後(hou)工(gong)業(ye)化(hua)進(jin)程(cheng)進(jin)入(ru)成(cheng)熟(shu)的(de)工(gong)業(ye)社(she)會(hui)。也(ye)隻(zhi)能(neng)靠(kao)升(sheng)級(ji)發(fa)展(zhan)才(cai)能(neng)消(xiao)化(hua)後(hou)工(gong)業(ye)化(hua)進(jin)程(cheng)中(zhong)的(de)主(zhu)要(yao)問(wen)題(ti)和(he)風(feng)險(xian)。一(yi)方(fang)麵(mian),人(ren)口(kou)紅(hong)利(li)已(yi)經(jing)不(bu)再(zai)明(ming)顯(xian),要(yao)素(su)成(cheng)本(ben)近(jin)十(shi)幾(ji)年(nian)不(bu)斷(duan)升(sheng)高(gao),環(huan)境(jing)資(zi)源(yuan)也(ye)無(wu)力(li)支(zhi)撐(cheng),依(yi)靠(kao)過(guo)去(qu)簡(jian)單(dan)粗(cu)放(fang)的(de)發(fa)展(zhan)模(mo)式(shi)已(yi)經(jing)難(nan)以(yi)維(wei)係(xi),隻(zhi)有(you)加(jia)快(kuai)升(sheng)級(ji)迭(die)代(dai)掉(diao)過(guo)去(qu)的(de)高(gao)耗(hao)能(neng)、重資產、高杠杆模式,才能繼續維持中國製造業的核心競爭力;另ling一yi方fang麵mian,後hou工gong業ye化hua時shi代dai,中zhong國guo也ye具ju備bei了le推tui動dong產chan業ye升sheng級ji的de基ji本ben條tiao件jian,包bao括kuo成cheng熟shu的de產chan業ye鏈lian體ti係xi,深shen厚hou的de技ji術shu底di蘊yun,大da量liang的de產chan業ye工gong人ren,成cheng熟shu的de技ji術shu專zhuan家jia,統tong一yi的de國guo內nei大da市shi場chang,成cheng規gui模mo的de產chan業ye集ji聚ju園yuan區qu,進jin一yi步bu深shen化hua改gai革ge開kai放fang的de高gao層ceng共gong識shi等deng。這zhe一yi切qie決jue定ding了le,在zai後hou工gong業ye化hua時shi代dai,中zhong國guo必bi須xu加jia快kuai產chan業ye升sheng級ji,也ye完wan全quan具ju備bei條tiao件jian實shi現xian產chan業ye升sheng級ji,繼ji續xu保bao持chi中zhong國guo製zhi造zao業ye在zai國guo際ji上shang的de領ling先xian地di位wei。
(三)產業體係現代化、專精特新型企業湧現與中國工業體係重塑
zaizhongguodehougongyehuajinchengzhong,yixiexindetezhengkaishichuxian,tixianlezhongguozhizaoyeshengjidexiaoguo。qizhongyoulianggejibentezhengfeichangmingxian,yishicongzongtishangkan,chanyetixixiandaihuachengduyuelaiyuegao,zhuyaotixianzai:chanyejijuhejishuwaiyixiaoyingyuelaiyueqiang,chanyelianyuelaiyuewanzheng,gongyemenleiyuelaiyueqiquan,gongyinglianyuelaiyueyourenxingqiezizhukekong,juyouguojiyingxianglihekuaguojingyingnenglidedaxingminqichuxian,jishuhechanpinbiaozhunyuelaiyueguifan,shuzihua、自動化、智能化程度越來越高等。從頂層設計的角度,建設和完善現代產業體係,是後工業化進程中一項重大的戰略任務。
二er是shi有you大da量liang的de專zhuan精jing特te新xin企qi業ye開kai始shi湧yong現xian,這zhe些xie企qi業ye不bu像xiang傳chuan統tong的de製zhi造zao業ye工gong廠chang,是shi在zai現xian代dai產chan業ye體ti係xi內nei部bu孕yun育yu生sheng長chang出chu來lai的de,雖sui然ran規gui模mo不bu大da但dan是shi具ju有you較jiao強qiang的de科ke技ji創chuang新xin能neng力li和he巨ju大da的de發fa展zhan潛qian力li。在zai這zhe裏li需xu要yao注zhu意yi的de是shi,專zhuan精jing特te新xin企qi業ye是shi湧yong現xian出chu來lai而er不bu是shi設she計ji出chu來lai的de,是shi現xian代dai產chan業ye體ti係xi這zhe個ge生sheng態tai“森林”進化到一定程度,市場需求激發的結果。所謂“湧現”,來自複雜經濟學的語境,意指一種偶然的、不經意的、帶(dai)有(you)一(yi)定(ding)隨(sui)機(ji)性(xing)和(he)不(bu)確(que)定(ding)性(xing)的(de)狀(zhuang)態(tai)。專(zhuan)精(jing)特(te)新(xin)企(qi)業(ye)的(de)成(cheng)長(chang)發(fa)展(zhan),雖(sui)然(ran)也(ye)有(you)較(jiao)大(da)力(li)度(du)的(de)政(zheng)策(ce)支(zhi)持(chi)在(zai)裏(li)麵(mian),但(dan)是(shi)從(cong)本(ben)質(zhi)上(shang)看(kan)它(ta)們(men)主(zhu)要(yao)還(hai)是(shi)靠(kao)市(shi)場(chang)的(de)內(nei)生(sheng)力(li)量(liang),是(shi)生(sheng)長(chang)出(chu)來(lai)的(de)而(er)不(bu)是(shi)設(she)計(ji)出(chu)來(lai)的(de)。
這樣,我們就大體看出中國工業體係在後工業化進程中所塑造的一個新的圖景:yifangmianxiandaichanyetixikaishizouxiangchengshu,jiegouyuelaiyuefengfu,gechanyezhutizhijianchengxianchufuzadewangluoguanxi,daxingzhizaoyelongtouqiyehejishulingjunqiyejueqi,tongguochanyelianhegongyinglianyushangxiayouzhongxiaoqiyechanshengjinmidelianxihehudong;另一方麵,在這個龐大的現代產業生態體係中,湧現出了大量的輕資產、高技術、創(chuang)新(xin)能(neng)力(li)強(qiang),人(ren)力(li)資(zi)本(ben)密(mi)集(ji)度(du)極(ji)高(gao)的(de)專(zhuan)精(jing)特(te)新(xin)企(qi)業(ye),這(zhe)些(xie)企(qi)業(ye)雖(sui)然(ran)規(gui)模(mo)不(bu)大(da),還(hai)處(chu)於(yu)成(cheng)長(chang)早(zao)期(qi),但(dan)是(shi)有(you)較(jiao)強(qiang)的(de)市(shi)場(chang)敏(min)感(gan)度(du)和(he)麵(mian)對(dui)複(fu)雜(za)環(huan)境(jing)的(de)靈(ling)敏(min)響(xiang)應(ying)能(neng)力(li),更(geng)加(jia)適(shi)應(ying)後(hou)工(gong)業(ye)化(hua)進(jin)程(cheng)中(zhong)的(de)不(bu)確(que)定(ding)性(xing)環(huan)境(jing)。這(zhe)樣(yang),後(hou)工(gong)業(ye)化(hua)時(shi)代(dai),中(zhong)國(guo)工(gong)業(ye)體(ti)係(xi)呈(cheng)現(xian)出(chu)“大型製造業龍頭企業/技術領軍企業+中小型專精特新企業”並(bing)存(cun)的(de)啞(ya)鈴(ling)型(xing)分(fen)布(bu)狀(zhuang)態(tai),共(gong)同(tong)塑(su)造(zao)了(le)一(yi)個(ge)更(geng)加(jia)富(fu)有(you)韌(ren)性(xing)的(de)現(xian)代(dai)產(chan)業(ye)體(ti)係(xi)。中(zhong)國(guo)工(gong)業(ye)體(ti)係(xi)的(de)重(zhong)塑(su),也(ye)意(yi)味(wei)著(zhe)其(qi)背(bei)後(hou)的(de)金(jin)融(rong)需(xu)求(qiu)也(ye)在(zai)發(fa)生(sheng)巨(ju)大(da)的(de)變(bian)化(hua)。
三、中國製造業升級中的金融需求
金融需求內生於中國後工業化進程中的產業結構變遷和技術升級。總體上看,服務化、數字化、低碳化、高gao端duan化hua是shi中zhong國guo製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji的de未wei來lai四si大da趨qu勢shi,相xiang應ying著zhe也ye引yin發fa金jin融rong服fu務wu需xu求qiu的de變bian化hua以yi及ji金jin融rong結jie構gou的de變bian遷qian。在zai這zhe個ge過guo程cheng中zhong,受shou製zhi於yu路lu徑jing依yi賴lai的de商shang業ye銀yin行xing可ke能neng麵mian臨lin對dui新xin興xing的de製zhi造zao業ye產chan業ye服fu務wu不bu足zu的de問wen題ti。
(一)中國製造業升級的四個趨勢
中國製造業在後工業化進程中必須解決四個方麵的新問題,在解決問題的過程中呈現出升級的方向和趨勢。
一是為解決高耗能、重汙染的問題,在升級過程中必須走綠色化、低di碳tan化hua的de道dao路lu。現xian有you的de資zi源yuan環huan境jing和he碳tan排pai放fang空kong間jian,已yi經jing不bu允yun許xu中zhong國guo繼ji續xu走zou高gao耗hao能neng的de傳chuan統tong老lao路lu,每mei個ge製zhi造zao業ye企qi業ye都dou應ying該gai將jiang低di碳tan綠lv色se生sheng產chan作zuo為wei一yi個ge剛gang性xing約yue束shu,根gen據ju低di碳tan排pai放fang的de要yao求qiu進jin行xing技ji術shu設she備bei的de改gai造zao升sheng級ji。二er是shi為wei解jie決jue要yao素su成cheng本ben越yue來lai越yue高gao,不bu確que定ding性xing因yin素su越yue來lai越yue多duo的de問wen題ti,中zhong國guo製zhi造zao業ye必bi須xu走zou數shu字zi化hua、自動化、智能化道路。麵對不確定性越來越高的國內外環境,在經營管理方麵應該提高數字化水平,通過大數據和機器學習等手段對訂單、庫存、價格、原(yuan)材(cai)料(liao)和(he)市(shi)場(chang)環(huan)境(jing)進(jin)行(xing)實(shi)時(shi)分(fen)析(xi)預(yu)測(ce),提(ti)前(qian)找(zhao)到(dao)應(ying)對(dui)風(feng)險(xian)的(de)策(ce)略(lve)。三(san)是(shi)為(wei)解(jie)決(jue)客(ke)戶(hu)人(ren)性(xing)化(hua)體(ti)驗(yan)要(yao)求(qiu)越(yue)來(lai)高(gao),越(yue)來(lai)越(yue)豐(feng)富(fu)的(de)問(wen)題(ti),中(zhong)國(guo)製(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)需(xu)要(yao)走(zou)服(fu)務(wu)化(hua)、個ge性xing化hua的de道dao路lu。製zhi造zao即ji服fu務wu,已yi經jing成cheng為wei成cheng熟shu工gong業ye國guo家jia的de基ji本ben經jing驗yan和he重zhong要yao信xin條tiao。隨sui著zhe客ke戶hu需xu求qiu的de升sheng級ji,中zhong國guo製zhi造zao業ye產chan業ye升sheng級ji也ye需xu要yao從cong傳chuan統tong的de生sheng產chan型xing思si維wei模mo式shi走zou出chu,麵mian對dui客ke戶hu需xu求qiu建jian立li綜zong合he化hua的de服fu務wu型xing模mo式shi。四si是shi解jie決jue如ru何he在zai國guo際ji市shi場chang上shang提ti高gao競jing爭zheng力li並bing錯cuo位wei競jing爭zheng的de問wen題ti,中zhong國guo製zhi造zao業ye需xu要yao向xiang高gao增zeng加jia值zhi部bu分fen產chan業ye鏈lian進jin行xing遷qian移yi,實shi現xian生sheng產chan研yan發fa的de前qian沿yan化hua、高端化。以《中國製造2025》為標誌,在頂層設計下中國開始向高端製造轉型升級。
(二)圍繞四個趨勢產生的金融服務需求
製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji帶dai來lai了le產chan業ye結jie構gou的de變bian遷qian,產chan業ye結jie構gou的de變bian遷qian產chan生sheng了le新xin的de金jin融rong需xu求qiu。從cong中zhong國guo製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji的de四si個ge方fang向xiang和he趨qu勢shi看kan,主zhu要yao會hui產chan生sheng以yi下xia四si種zhong金jin融rong需xu求qiu:
綠色金融。圍繞製造業在綠色技術的應用和低碳化改造等方麵產生的融資需求,主要由綠色信貸、綠色債券、綠色基金、綠色及新能源股票於基金、tanjinrongleichanpindeng。youyulvsejinrongjuyoujiaoqiangdewaibuxing,zaichanyeshengjichuqixuyaozhengfudezhengcezhichi,ruhejiangzhengcexingjinrongyushangyejinrongyouxiaojiehe,shilvsejinrongnengfoukechixufazhandezhongyaotiaojian。jiezhi2023年3月,中國綠色信貸規模大約有22萬億元,綠色債券規模大約有2.5萬億元,還具有非常大的發展空間。
shuzijinrong。hougongyehuashidai,xinxingkejidezhizaoyeqiyezaichangqideshuzihuaguochengzhongjileiledaliangdeshuju,jingguoyidingdejishuchulihou,biankeyichengweishengchanxinyongxinxideshuzizichan。zhexieshuzizichanzuoweishengchanyaosudeyibufen,duitigaoshengchanxiaolv,jiangdinenghaodengchengbenqizhejudadezuoyong。jiangshuzizichanyingyongdaojinrongfangmian,keyianzhaofengkongbiaozhundesuanfa,congshuzizichanzhongjisuanchuqiyedexinyongnengliyushouxinedu,hainengxiangduijingzhundiduiqiyedexinyongfengxianjinxingdingjia。
供gong應ying鏈lian金jin融rong。在zai後hou工gong業ye化hua時shi代dai,製zhi造zao業ye企qi業ye之zhi間jian的de供gong應ying鏈lian聯lian係xi更geng加jia緊jin密mi了le,相xiang應ying的de供gong應ying鏈lian金jin融rong產chan生sheng的de服fu務wu需xu求qiu也ye變bian得de更geng大da了le。再zai加jia上shang數shu字zi供gong應ying鏈lian平ping台tai的de廣guang泛fan應ying用yong,過guo去qu供gong應ying鏈lian金jin融rong中zhong的de一yi些xie技ji術shu難nan題ti,比bi如ru動dong產chan融rong資zi中zhong的de重zhong複fu抵di押ya與yu違wei規gui挪nuo用yong問wen題ti,保bao理li業ye務wu中zhong的de虛xu假jia票piao據ju問wen題ti等deng,理li論lun上shang都dou可ke以yi用yong物wu聯lian網wang+區塊鏈等技術來解決。
kejijinrong。yibanlaishuo,kejijinrongshiweiraozhekejichuangxinheyingyongchanshengdeyixiliejinrongfuwu。zaihougongyehuashidai,jishujinbushizhizaoyeshengjidehexindonglihejichuzhicheng。kejijinrongyuchuantongjinrongbuyiyangdedifangzhuyaoyousangefangmian:一是具有高度的不確定性,因為創新就是一個試錯的過程,蘊含著極大的風險;ershichuangxinyibanlaizizhongxiaoqiye,daqiyeguranyoujiaoqiangdeyanfanengli,danshichuangxindeyingyonghechanyehuahaixuyaozhongxiaoqiyeliyongqilinghuodetizhihegaodumingandeshichangfanyingnengli,erdaqiyedezuzhiguhuaheliyijidingjiegou,henrongyizuaichuangxindeyingyong;sanshirenlizibenzhiguanzhongyao,bujinjinshijishuzhuanjia,chuangxinqiyedechuangshirenheqiyejiayeyouweizhongyao,erjigongchengshiyuqiyejiaweiyitidefuhexingrencaiduichuangxinlaishuogengshixique。zhesangetezhengjuedinglekejichuangxinduijinrongfuwuyoutedingdeyaoqiu,bingbushiyidiyapinhewaibuzengxinweizhudechuantongjinrongsuonengmanzude。
(三)商業銀行的路徑依賴與金融服務供給不足
shangyeyinxingzuoweijinrongqiye,shizaichengbenhefengxianyueshuxiashixianlirunzuidahua。guoqushijinian,shangyeyinxingzhaodaolesanleizichannengchangqimanzuzongheshouyizuidahuamubiao:以按揭、開發貸、房產抵押貸為主的房地產貸款,以城投債、限額內地方債和地方政府平台非標貸款為主的地方政府債務,以國債、金融債等為主的利率債和高等級信用債,這三類資產構成了銀行資產組合中的主要大類,為商業銀行提供長期穩定的利差收益。
zheyedaozhileyizhonghouguo,najiushizhizaoyeqiyeyouqishifengxianjiaogaodezhuanjingtexinqiye,hennanjinrushangyeyinxingdezichanzuhe,yinweizheduilirunzuidahuahezuodaguimoqingxiangdeshangyeyinxingshibujingjide。tongshixindaipeigeidecunzai,youshiyouxinyongshichanggongxujunhengjuedingdefengxianlilvwufachengweiyouhuaxindaiziyuanpeizhideshouduan,jililvjishizaigaoyebuhuidailaigengduodexindaigonggei。zaizhezhongqingkuangxia,daliangdefangdichanxindaizichanyuyinhanguojiaxinyongzengxindedifangpingtaidaikuan,jiuduizhizaoyedaikuanchanshenglejudadejichu。shangyeyinxingyuanyijianggengduodejingjizibenheshouxinedupeizhidaozhexieyinhanzhe“風險補貼”的低風險、中zhong高gao收shou益yi資zi產chan上shang,形xing成cheng巨ju大da的de資zi產chan負fu債zhai表biao規gui模mo效xiao應ying。在zai這zhe種zhong情qing況kuang下xia,商shang業ye銀yin行xing的de風feng險xian偏pian好hao和he經jing營ying行xing為wei形xing成cheng了le較jiao強qiang的de路lu徑jing依yi賴lai,在zai客ke戶hu群qun體ti上shang逐zhu漸jian失shi去qu了le對dui製zhi造zao業ye企qi業ye的de興xing趣qu,也ye逐zhu漸jian失shi去qu了le對dui製zhi造zao業ye企qi業ye尤you其qi是shi專zhuan精jing特te新xin企qi業ye的de授shou信xin精jing準zhun的de金jin融rong服fu務wu能neng力li。這zhe樣yang的de結jie果guo就jiu表biao現xian在zai信xin用yong市shi場chang上shang,麵mian向xiang製zhi造zao業ye企qi業ye的de金jin融rong服fu務wu供gong給gei相xiang對dui來lai說shuo長chang期qi不bu足zu,且qie存cun在zai較jiao為wei嚴yan重zhong的de信xin貸dai配pei給gei問wen題ti。
四、商業銀行如何服務製造業升級
從cong上shang麵mian的de分fen析xi來lai看kan,商shang業ye銀yin行xing如ru何he服fu務wu製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji是shi一yi個ge綜zong合he命ming題ti,並bing非fei僅jin僅jin是shi產chan品pin和he服fu務wu層ceng麵mian的de創chuang新xin。它ta涉she及ji公gong司si治zhi理li體ti係xi的de現xian代dai化hua,形xing成cheng一yi個ge有you利li於yu風feng險xian偏pian好hao提ti升sheng的de科ke學xue決jue策ce機ji製zhi;需要經營管理模式的數字化,形成一個有利於服務技術創新的成本(包括風險成本)曲線;需要產品和服務設計的投行化,形成商業銀行文化與投行文化的兼容,以適應製造業升級過程中麵向資本市場的各種跨界鏈接。
(一)公司治理體係的現代化
公司治理體係是商業銀行的“上層建築”,是決定銀行發展戰略和經營決策的組織中樞。事實證明,公司治理體係的現代化程度,是決定一個銀行發展質量和創新程度的“第一因素”。naxiequefaquanlizhiheng,wufazhenzhengshixianquncequnli,wufayouxiaofahuizhuanyeweiyuanhuihefeizhixingdongshizuoyongdeyinxing,zaijingyingfazhanguochengzhongdouchuxianlebutongchengdudefengxianwenti,guanliwentiheheguiwenti。ernaxieguquanjiegouheli,juecejizhijianquan、科(ke)學(xue),具(ju)有(you)清(qing)晰(xi)的(de)戰(zhan)略(lve)規(gui)劃(hua)的(de)銀(yin)行(xing),則(ze)取(qu)得(de)了(le)較(jiao)好(hao)的(de)發(fa)展(zhan)。服(fu)務(wu)製(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)升(sheng)級(ji)是(shi)一(yi)項(xiang)係(xi)統(tong)工(gong)程(cheng),必(bi)須(xu)從(cong)公(gong)司(si)治(zhi)理(li)的(de)基(ji)礎(chu)體(ti)係(xi)層(ceng)麵(mian)進(jin)行(xing)變(bian)革(ge),才(cai)能(neng)適(shi)應(ying)後(hou)工(gong)業(ye)化(hua)進(jin)程(cheng)中(zhong)製(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)升(sheng)級(ji)出(chu)現(xian)的(de)新(xin)形(xing)態(tai)。
銀行公司治理體係的現代化,第一,意味著“四會一層”的架構體係能真正發揮出權力製衡作用,防止出現經營決策“一言堂”,決jue策ce過guo程cheng缺que乏fa科ke學xue的de論lun證zheng過guo程cheng,責ze權quan利li無wu法fa有you效xiao匹pi配pei,造zao成cheng個ge人ren與yu銀yin行xing組zu織zhi無wu法fa做zuo到dao激ji勵li相xiang容rong。由you於yu服fu務wu製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji意yi味wei著zhe銀yin行xing整zheng個ge風feng險xian—收shou益yi結jie構gou的de轉zhuan型xing,如ru果guo轉zhuan型xing過guo程cheng中zhong的de經jing營ying風feng險xian無wu法fa有you效xiao地di在zai決jue策ce層ceng中zhong分fen配pei,那na麼me權quan力li過guo度du集ji中zhong的de決jue策ce層ceng很hen可ke能neng就jiu陷xian入ru保bao守shou的de經jing營ying風feng格ge中zhong形xing成cheng長chang期qi的de路lu徑jing依yi賴lai,會hui將jiang有you限xian的de經jing濟ji資zi本ben分fen配pei到dao製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji中zhong的de創chuang新xin企qi業ye和he項xiang目mu上shang。第di二er,服fu務wu製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji的de金jin融rong領ling域yu需xu要yao較jiao強qiang的de專zhuan業ye性xing,需xu要yao充chong分fen發fa揮hui專zhuan業ye委wei員yuan會hui和he非fei執zhi行xing董dong事shi的de專zhuan業ye作zuo用yong。過guo去qu銀yin行xing的de服fu務wu對dui象xiang主zhu要yao是shi以yi抵di押ya品pin和he政zheng府fu增zeng信xin為wei主zhu的de業ye務wu,專zhuan業ye度du相xiang對dui不bu高gao,服fu務wu製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji不bu一yi樣yang。第di三san,對dui商shang業ye銀yin行xing來lai說shuo,服fu務wu製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji是shi一yi項xiang戰zhan略lve轉zhuan型xing,董dong事shi會hui需xu要yao發fa揮hui出chu強qiang大da的de戰zhan略lve規gui劃hua和he管guan理li能neng力li。在zai商shang業ye銀yin行xing戰zhan略lve轉zhuan型xing過guo程cheng中zhong,股gu東dong大da會hui在zai戰zhan略lve方fang向xiang上shang,董dong事shi會hui在zai總zong體ti布bu局ju上shang,專zhuan業ye委wei員yuan會hui在zai規gui劃hua製zhi定ding上shang,監jian事shi會hui在zai戰zhan略lve風feng險xian上shang,黨dang委wei會hui在zai社she會hui責ze任ren和he總zong體ti引yin領ling上shang,員yuan工gong代dai表biao大da會hui在zai基ji層ceng和he客ke戶hu訴su求qiu的de信xin息xi反fan饋kui上shang,都dou可ke以yi發fa揮hui出chu各ge自zi的de作zuo用yong,共gong同tong提ti高gao商shang業ye銀yin行xing服fu務wu製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji的de能neng力li。
(二)經營管理模式的數字化
shuzihuashizhizaoyeshengjideyigezhuyaofangxiang,keyishuoshihougongyehuashidaizuihexindejishubiange。ruguozhizaoyeqiyedejingyinghuodongdoucaiyongleshuzijishu,xingchengledaliangdeshuju,shuzichengweixindeshengchanyaosu,nameshangyeyinxingdegexiangjingyinghuodongyeyinggaijiakuaishuzigaizao。shijishang,conggexingyebijiaolaikan,yinxingyeshishuzihuachengduzuigaodexingyezhiyi。danshiguoquyinxingshuzihuadezhuyaolingyuzailingshoukehu,wulunshikehuduanhaishishuzifengkong,doushijianlizailingshoukehudexingweiyucaiwushujuzhishang。zhisuoyiruci,zhuyaoshiyinweilingshoukehudexiaofeixingweijuyoufeichangfengfudechangjingshuju,tongguoshidangdesuanfajiunengjiangqizhuanhuaweishuzizichan。weifuwuzhizaoyeshengji,xianglingshouyewuyiyangyouxiaoliyongshuzizichan,shangyeyinxingcongxianzaikaishibixuyouyishidixiangB端的金融數字化進行轉型。
與零售業務數字化主要集中在觸點、引流端和體驗層不同的是,麵向製造業企業B端的銀行經營管理數字化主要集中在數字風控上。與以往不同,工業互聯網、數字營銷和客戶管理、數(shu)字(zi)供(gong)應(ying)鏈(lian)等(deng)大(da)量(liang)數(shu)字(zi)活(huo)動(dong)的(de)湧(yong)現(xian),為(wei)企(qi)業(ye)形(xing)成(cheng)了(le)豐(feng)富(fu)的(de)非(fei)財(cai)務(wu)性(xing)的(de)行(xing)為(wei)數(shu)據(ju)。這(zhe)些(xie)數(shu)據(ju)轉(zhuan)化(hua)為(wei)數(shu)字(zi)資(zi)產(chan)後(hou),對(dui)銀(yin)行(xing)來(lai)說(shuo)就(jiu)是(shi)一(yi)種(zhong)可(ke)供(gong)利(li)用(yong)和(he)挖(wa)掘(jue)的(de)數(shu)字(zi)信(xin)用(yong)資(zi)產(chan)。這(zhe)些(xie)數(shu)字(zi)資(zi)產(chan)在(zai)授(shou)信(xin)方(fang)麵(mian)的(de)應(ying)用(yong)可(ke)以(yi)分(fen)為(wei)三(san)個(ge)階(jie)段(duan),第(di)一(yi)階(jie)段(duan)隻(zhi)是(shi)作(zuo)為(wei)財(cai)務(wu)數(shu)據(ju)的(de)輔(fu)助(zhu),隻(zhi)要(yao)用(yong)於(yu)對(dui)企(qi)業(ye)財(cai)務(wu)數(shu)據(ju)進(jin)行(xing)交(jiao)叉(cha)印(yin)證(zheng);第二階段在數字積累到非常豐富以後,可以成為企業數字信用的主要來源,傳統的財務數據成為輔助驗證手段;第(di)三(san)階(jie)段(duan)銀(yin)行(xing)升(sheng)級(ji)算(suan)法(fa),將(jiang)企(qi)業(ye)數(shu)據(ju)不(bu)僅(jin)運(yun)用(yong)在(zai)授(shou)信(xin)方(fang)麵(mian),還(hai)可(ke)以(yi)對(dui)企(qi)業(ye)進(jin)行(xing)全(quan)麵(mian)的(de)經(jing)營(ying)診(zhen)斷(duan),為(wei)企(qi)業(ye)提(ti)供(gong)綜(zong)合(he)化(hua)的(de)金(jin)融(rong)服(fu)務(wu)。可(ke)見(jian),數(shu)字(zi)資(zi)產(chan)和(he)數(shu)字(zi)信(xin)用(yong)的(de)應(ying)用(yong),對(dui)製(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)升(sheng)級(ji)尤(you)其(qi)是(shi)那(na)些(xie)傳(chuan)統(tong)財(cai)務(wu)數(shu)據(ju)匱(kui)乏(fa)的(de)專(zhuan)精(jing)特(te)新(xin)企(qi)業(ye)尤(you)為(wei)重(zhong)要(yao)。
(三)以投資銀行理念做好科技金融
chanyeshengjihejinrongfazhanmibukefen,gongyefadadejingjitiyeshijinrongfadadejingjiti。zhongguodezhizaoyeshengjishijishangjiushiyicichanyejiegoubianqian,youzhongzichangaohaonenggongchangxiangzhuanjingtexinzhuanbian,xiangyingdejinrongtixiyeyinggaicongyishangyeyinxingweizhudejianjierongzitixi,xiangyitouziyinxingweizhudezhijierongzitixizhuanbian。dangqianzhongguodejinrongtixirengranyishangyeyinxingdeshouxinchanpinweijueduizhudao,touziyinxingdeyewuzhanbijiqifuwunenglihaixiangduijiaodi,wufayouxiaodiweizhuanjingtexinqiyetigongkejijinrongfuwu。yaofuwuzhizaoyeshengji,shouxianxuyaotigaotouxingyewudezhanbi。yifangmian,shangyeyinxingyaofengfujinrongyetai,tigaofeiyinjinrongzhanbi,youqishidalifazhanzibenshichang,weiquanyirongzitigonggenghaodetuichujizhi。lingyifangmian,yeshigengzhongyaodeshishangyeyinxingzishentuidongtouxinghuazhuanxing,jiangtouxingyewuzuoweizhanlvezhongdian,zaijizhitizhirencaidenggefangmiangeiyuzhichi,xingchengquanmiande“商行+投行”的投貸聯動,打造科技金融綜合服務平台。
在這個平台上商業銀行要做好銀投、銀政和銀企合作。商業銀行要與證券公司的投行機構加強合作,通過將商行和投行不同產品、係統、服(fu)務(wu)及(ji)風(feng)險(xian)文(wen)化(hua)互(hu)補(bu),推(tui)出(chu)一(yi)係(xi)列(lie)麵(mian)向(xiang)專(zhuan)精(jing)特(te)新(xin)企(qi)業(ye)的(de)結(jie)構(gou)化(hua)金(jin)融(rong)服(fu)務(wu)。其(qi)中(zhong)投(tou)貸(dai)聯(lian)動(dong)是(shi)最(zui)普(pu)遍(bian)的(de)銀(yin)投(tou)合(he)作(zuo)模(mo)式(shi),但(dan)是(shi)由(you)於(yu)商(shang)業(ye)銀(yin)行(xing)的(de)風(feng)險(xian)偏(pian)好(hao)過(guo)低(di),隻(zhi)能(neng)選(xuan)擇(ze)有(you)限(xian)的(de)項(xiang)目(mu)並(bing)提(ti)供(gong)有(you)限(xian)的(de)信(xin)貸(dai)資(zi)金(jin),無(wu)法(fa)大(da)規(gui)模(mo)的(de)支(zhi)持(chi)科(ke)技(ji)創(chuang)新(xin)項(xiang)目(mu),也(ye)很(hen)難(nan)與(yu)投(tou)資(zi)銀(yin)行(xing)的(de)服(fu)務(wu)理(li)念(nian)和(he)文(wen)化(hua)兼(jian)容(rong)。因(yin)此(ci)下(xia)一(yi)步(bu)在(zai)投(tou)貸(dai)聯(lian)動(dong)的(de)業(ye)務(wu)合(he)作(zuo)中(zhong),商(shang)業(ye)銀(yin)行(xing)應(ying)該(gai)依(yi)靠(kao)其(qi)客(ke)群(qun)、zijinheshujuyoushi,zaiqizhongzhanjuhexinweizhiyifahuigengdadezuoyong。lingwai,zaizhizaoyeqiyeshengjiguochengzhong,gejizhengfuyifangmianzaichanyeyuanquguanlizhongzhangwoledaliangdejichushuju,keyiweishangyeyinxingtigongshuishou、海關、水電等公共數據服務,另一方麵也成立了各種創新主題基金、chanyejijinjiyindaojijinhemujijin,xingchengmianxiangzhizaoyeshengjihezhuanjingtexinqiyejinrongfuwuxuqiudezonghepingtai,shangyeyinxingyinggaizhudongcanyuqizhongyikuodayewufanchou。
(四)以創新理念做好供應鏈金融、綠色金融與財富管理
針(zhen)對(dui)製(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)升(sheng)級(ji)中(zhong)的(de)分(fen)工(gong)細(xi)化(hua)和(he)供(gong)應(ying)鏈(lian)管(guan)理(li)的(de)升(sheng)級(ji),商(shang)業(ye)銀(yin)行(xing)應(ying)以(yi)數(shu)字(zi)金(jin)融(rong)的(de)理(li)念(nian)大(da)力(li)發(fa)展(zhan)供(gong)應(ying)鏈(lian)金(jin)融(rong)。供(gong)應(ying)鏈(lian)金(jin)融(rong)迄(qi)今(jin)已(yi)經(jing)經(jing)曆(li)了(le)三(san)個(ge)階(jie)段(duan),分(fen)別(bie)為(wei)以(yi)商(shang)業(ye)銀(yin)行(xing)為(wei)主(zhu)導(dao)的(de)1.0階段,以核心企業為主導的2.0階段,當前是以數字供應鏈平台為主的3.0階(jie)段(duan),大(da)量(liang)的(de)專(zhuan)精(jing)特(te)新(xin)企(qi)業(ye)在(zai)供(gong)應(ying)鏈(lian)平(ping)台(tai)上(shang)留(liu)下(xia)了(le)有(you)價(jia)值(zhi)的(de)數(shu)據(ju),逐(zhu)漸(jian)替(ti)代(dai)了(le)核(he)心(xin)企(qi)業(ye)的(de)增(zeng)信(xin)功(gong)能(neng)。商(shang)業(ye)銀(yin)行(xing)應(ying)該(gai)從(cong)傳(chuan)統(tong)的(de)供(gong)應(ying)鏈(lian)金(jin)融(rong)中(zhong)走(zou)出(chu)來(lai),加(jia)強(qiang)與(yu)供(gong)應(ying)鏈(lian)數(shu)字(zi)平(ping)台(tai)的(de)合(he)作(zuo),成(cheng)為(wei)數(shu)字(zi)供(gong)應(ying)鏈(lian)金(jin)融(rong)中(zhong)的(de)關(guan)鍵(jian)一(yi)環(huan)。
綠色金融的前景極為廣闊,麵對“3060雙碳目標”,製zhi造zao業ye企qi業ye將jiang圍wei繞rao綠lv色se和he環huan保bao的de主zhu題ti進jin行xing全quan麵mian升sheng級ji。綠lv色se金jin融rong的de服fu務wu對dui象xiang分fen為wei兩liang類lei,一yi類lei是shi專zhuan門men提ti供gong綠lv色se環huan保bao技ji術shu產chan品pin和he服fu務wu的de企qi業ye,這zhe些xie企qi業ye往wang往wang也ye是shi具ju有you專zhuan精jing特te新xin特te征zheng的de企qi業ye。一yi類lei是shi自zi身shen有you綠lv色se化hua、低(di)碳(tan)化(hua)改(gai)造(zao)需(xu)求(qiu)的(de)製(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)企(qi)業(ye),這(zhe)些(xie)企(qi)業(ye)在(zai)技(ji)術(shu)升(sheng)級(ji)中(zhong)有(you)較(jiao)大(da)的(de)資(zi)本(ben)支(zhi)出(chu)融(rong)資(zi)需(xu)求(qiu),需(xu)要(yao)金(jin)融(rong)機(ji)構(gou)提(ti)供(gong)支(zhi)持(chi)。商(shang)業(ye)銀(yin)行(xing)都(dou)可(ke)以(yi)為(wei)上(shang)述(shu)兩(liang)類(lei)企(qi)業(ye)提(ti)供(gong)綠(lv)色(se)信(xin)貸(dai)、綠色債券、綠色金融租賃等金融服務,未來有幾十萬億元級別的金融服務需求。當前綠色金融在中國還處於初級發展階段,認定標準、評估方法、定價方式、風feng險xian處chu置zhi等deng技ji術shu環huan節jie還hai需xu要yao進jin一yi步bu完wan善shan。由you於yu綠lv色se投tou資zi具ju有you正zheng的de外wai部bu性xing,即ji會hui產chan生sheng正zheng的de社she會hui價jia值zhi但dan是shi很hen大da部bu分fen得de不bu到dao經jing濟ji補bu償chang,因yin此ci需xu要yao政zheng府fu部bu門men的de政zheng策ce支zhi持chi。商shang業ye銀yin行xing需xu要yao創chuang新xin和he開kai拓tuo思si路lu,整zheng合he各ge方fang麵mian的de主zhu體ti和he資zi源yuan形xing成cheng對dui綠lv色se金jin融rong的de服fu務wu和he產chan品pin集ji成cheng。
在zai服fu務wu製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji和he專zhuan精jing特te新xin企qi業ye過guo程cheng中zhong,商shang業ye銀yin行xing不bu能neng隻zhi關guan注zhu資zi產chan端duan或huo資zi金jin使shi用yong端duan,還hai要yao在zai資zi金jin來lai源yuan端duan進jin行xing優you化hua調tiao整zheng,以yi適shi應ying麵mian向xiang製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji和he專zhuan精jing特te新xin企qi業ye金jin融rong需xu求qiu的de資zi產chan負fu債zhai管guan理li。總zong的de來lai說shuo,就jiu是shi打da造zao一yi張zhang有you利li於yu服fu務wu製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji的de廣guang義yi資zi產chan負fu債zhai表biao。製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji需xu要yao的de資zi金jin有you兩liang個ge特te征zheng,一yi是shi風feng險xian大da、收益高,二是期限長、耐nai性xing強qiang。因yin此ci,這zhe對dui銀yin行xing的de負fu債zhai端duan或huo資zi金jin使shi用yong端duan有you不bu一yi樣yang的de要yao求qiu。首shou先xian,需xu要yao有you風feng險xian偏pian好hao更geng高gao的de來lai源yuan資zi金jin,很hen顯xian然ran商shang業ye銀yin行xing的de表biao內nei負fu債zhai很hen難nan符fu合he這zhe樣yang的de要yao求qiu。雖sui然ran從cong單dan筆bi業ye務wu來lai看kan,是shi貸dai款kuan創chuang造zao存cun款kuan,但dan是shi從cong總zong的de資zi產chan負fu債zhai生sheng成cheng關guan係xi來lai看kan,在zai流liu動dong性xing和he錯cuo配pei約yue束shu下xia仍reng然ran是shi負fu債zhai端duan決jue定ding著zhe資zi產chan端duan,這zhe也ye是shi銀yin行xing長chang期qi堅jian持chi“存款立行”的(de)根(gen)本(ben)原(yuan)因(yin)。因(yin)此(ci),為(wei)了(le)更(geng)好(hao)服(fu)務(wu)製(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)升(sheng)級(ji),商(shang)業(ye)銀(yin)行(xing)應(ying)該(gai)大(da)力(li)發(fa)展(zhan)屬(shu)於(yu)中(zhong)間(jian)業(ye)務(wu)的(de)財(cai)富(fu)管(guan)理(li),將(jiang)符(fu)合(he)風(feng)險(xian)偏(pian)好(hao)要(yao)求(qiu)的(de)資(zi)金(jin)直(zhi)接(jie)投(tou)向(xiang)科(ke)技(ji)創(chuang)新(xin)領(ling)域(yu)。在(zai)銀(yin)行(xing)代(dai)客(ke)型(xing)的(de)財(cai)富(fu)管(guan)理(li)業(ye)務(wu)中(zhong),整(zheng)個(ge)資(zi)金(jin)融(rong)通(tong)的(de)過(guo)程(cheng)實(shi)際(ji)上(shang)相(xiang)當(dang)於(yu)直(zhi)接(jie)融(rong)資(zi),銀(yin)行(xing)在(zai)服(fu)務(wu)製(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)升(sheng)級(ji)過(guo)程(cheng)中(zhong)可(ke)以(yi)更(geng)好(hao)優(you)化(hua)金(jin)融(rong)資(zi)源(yuan)配(pei)置(zhi)。同(tong)時(shi),商(shang)業(ye)銀(yin)行(xing)應(ying)該(gai)將(jiang)共(gong)同(tong)富(fu)裕(yu)這(zhe)一(yi)命(ming)題(ti)與(yu)服(fu)務(wu)製(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)升(sheng)級(ji)結(jie)合(he)起(qi)來(lai),既(ji)可(ke)以(yi)為(wei)社(she)會(hui)大(da)眾(zhong)提(ti)高(gao)財(cai)產(chan)性(xing)收(shou)入(ru)找(zhao)到(dao)優(you)質(zhi)的(de)資(zi)產(chan),又(you)能(neng)在(zai)金(jin)融(rong)服(fu)務(wu)和(he)促(cu)進(jin)製(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)升(sheng)級(ji)過(guo)程(cheng)中(zhong)提(ti)高(gao)社(she)會(hui)大(da)眾(zhong)的(de)收(shou)入(ru)水(shui)平(ping)。
五、結論
經jing過guo四si十shi多duo年nian的de工gong業ye化hua曆li程cheng,中zhong國guo的de經jing濟ji和he工gong業ye生sheng產chan能neng力li今jin非fei昔xi比bi,已yi經jing不bu再zai是shi高gao速su增zeng長chang但dan產chan業ye形xing態tai簡jian單dan的de初chu級ji工gong業ye化hua社she會hui,而er是shi進jin化hua到dao了le從cong傳chuan統tong工gong業ye社she會hui向xiang發fa達da工gong業ye社she會hui過guo渡du的de“後工業時代”。後工業時代的生產模式和要素組織方式發生了巨大的變化,在數字化、服務化、綠色化、高端化的大趨勢下,中國製造業處於持續的產業升級過程中,湧現出了大量的專精特新企業。按照“金融服務實體經濟”的初心,金融結構需要與產業結構相匹配,製造業產業的升級需要全新的金融服務模式。其中,科技金融、數字金融、綠色金融、供應鏈金融是製造業升級過程中至關重要的四個領域。當前,在中國金融體係起著主導作用的商業銀行,在過去服務傳統重工業、fangdichanhedifangzhengfujiansheguochengzhong,duizhongzichanhegonggongxinyongxingchenglejingyingmoshishangdelujingyilai,zaifuwuzhizaoyeshengjihezhuanjingtexinqiyefangmianpoqiexuyaojiakuaizhuanxing。
按(an)照(zhao)金(jin)融(rong)發(fa)展(zhan)理(li)論(lun),以(yi)資(zi)本(ben)市(shi)場(chang)為(wei)主(zhu)導(dao)的(de)直(zhi)接(jie)融(rong)資(zi)體(ti)係(xi)通(tong)過(guo)分(fen)散(san)化(hua)的(de)風(feng)險(xian)分(fen)配(pei)機(ji)製(zhi),可(ke)以(yi)更(geng)好(hao)地(di)消(xiao)化(hua)和(he)管(guan)理(li)產(chan)業(ye)升(sheng)級(ji)中(zhong)的(de)各(ge)類(lei)金(jin)融(rong)風(feng)險(xian)。中(zhong)國(guo)當(dang)前(qian)的(de)金(jin)融(rong)體(ti)係(xi)仍(reng)然(ran)是(shi)以(yi)商(shang)業(ye)銀(yin)行(xing)為(wei)主(zhu)導(dao),資(zi)本(ben)市(shi)場(chang)經(jing)過(guo)幾(ji)十(shi)年(nian)的(de)發(fa)展(zhan)雖(sui)已(yi)初(chu)具(ju)規(gui)模(mo),但(dan)是(shi)在(zai)服(fu)務(wu)製(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)升(sheng)級(ji)方(fang)麵(mian)還(hai)存(cun)在(zai)一(yi)些(xie)不(bu)足(zu),需(xu)要(yao)不(bu)同(tong)金(jin)融(rong)機(ji)構(gou)、不同融資模式之間進行緊密協作。商業銀行要想繼續在“金融服務製造業升級”方麵發揮主導作用,就必須進行深層次、全quan麵mian的de經jing營ying管guan理li轉zhuan型xing,否fou則ze當dang前qian的de產chan品pin和he服fu務wu無wu法fa與yu新xin的de製zhi造zao業ye企qi業ye金jin融rong需xu求qiu相xiang匹pi配pei。轉zhuan型xing是shi一yi項xiang係xi統tong性xing的de大da工gong程cheng,首shou先xian,要yao建jian立li現xian代dai化hua的de公gong司si治zhi理li體ti係xi,從cong最zui高gao決jue策ce層ceng形xing成cheng共gong識shi,發fa揮hui專zhuan業ye委wei員yuan會hui的de科ke學xue決jue策ce作zuo用yong,提ti升sheng風feng險xian偏pian好hao並bing優you化hua經jing濟ji資zi本ben的de管guan理li,為wei金jin融rong服fu務wu製zhi造zao業ye升sheng級ji提ti供gong堅jian強qiang後hou盾dun。其qi次ci,加jia快kuai推tui進jin經jing營ying管guan理li層ceng麵mian的de數shu字zi化hua轉zhuan型xing,以yi適shi應ying製zhi造zao業ye企qi業ye數shu字zi化hua升sheng級ji的de大da方fang向xiang,尤you其qi是shi對dui專zhuan精jing特te新xin企qi業ye的de授shou信xin,通tong過guo數shu字zi風feng控kong技ji術shu,從cong依yi賴lai抵di押ya資zi產chan轉zhuan向xiang依yi靠kao數shu字zi資zi產chan,通tong過guo數shu字zi和he智zhi慧hui金jin融rong的de作zuo業ye模mo式shi解jie決jue過guo去qu無wu法fa解jie決jue的de輕qing資zi產chan授shou信xin難nan題ti。再zai次ci,以yi投tou行xing理li念nian做zuo好hao投tou貸dai聯lian動dong,發fa揮hui商shang業ye銀yin行xing在zai銀yin企qi關guan係xi和he賬zhang戶hu管guan理li方fang麵mian的de優you勢shi,為wei投tou貸dai結jie構gou化hua基ji金jin提ti供gong盡jin可ke能neng高gao的de信xin用yong支zhi持chi,放fang大da權quan益yi資zi本ben的de金jin融rong要yao素su組zu織zhi能neng力li。最zui後hou,以yi創chuang新xin理li念nian做zuo好hao綠lv色se金jin融rong、供應鏈金融和財富管理,重點是加強與其他非銀金融機構、政府機構和第三方中介服務機構的合作,為製造業升級提供全方位、全生命周期的金融服務。
注:
*本文係國家社科基金重大項目“中國地方債務與金融穩定性研究”(項目編號:20&ZD082)、國家社科基金項目“數字經濟背景下金融支持實體經濟的作用機製與實現路徑研究”(項目編號:21BJY173)之階段性成果。
參考文獻
CARLIN W,MAYER C, 2003.Finance investment and growth, Journal of Financial Economics,69(1):191–226.
RAJAN R,ZINGALES L, 2001. Financial systems,industrial structure, and growth.Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 17(4): 467-482.
丹尼爾·貝爾(美),2018.後工業社會的來臨,江西:江西人民出版社.
雷蒙德·W·戈德史密斯,1994.金融結構與金融發展,北京:生活·讀書·新知三聯書店.
李成青,劉靜遠,梁少麗,等,2019. 商業銀行信貸支持製造業發展研究——基於廣東製造業客戶市場調查,金融理論與實踐(9):88-96.